Where and when is Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Star Starachowice played?

Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Star Starachowice is played on April 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSiR Wisła, in the III Liga - Group 4.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Star Starachowice: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 27Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion OSiR Wisła, Tarnobrzeg

Siarka Tarnobrzeg

Star Starachowice

The Footlab model makes Siarka Tarnobrzeg the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Star Starachowice. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Star Starachowice?

A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Siarka Tarnobrzeg (1,714) and Star Starachowice (1,762).

Siarka Tarnobrzeg win39 %

Draw25 %

Star Starachowice win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Siarka Tarnobrzeg have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Star Starachowice have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Sokół Kolb.(away)	0-2	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026	Jarosław(home)	1-3	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026	Busko-Zdroj(away)	4-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026	Czarni Połaniec(home)	0-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 2, 2026	Hetman Zamosc(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 4

Star Starachowice
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Busko-Zdroj(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026	Czarni Połaniec(home)	2-0	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026	Hetman Zamosc(away)	0-3	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 9, 2026	KSZO 1929(home)	0-0	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 1, 2026	Wisła Kraków II(away)	2-4	III Liga - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Siarka Tarnobrzeg win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Star Starachowice win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 14, 2026	Star Starachowice 2-0 Siarka Tarnobrzeg	III Liga - Group 4
Jan 28, 2026	Siarka Tarnobrzeg 2-2 Star Starachowice	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 27, 2025	Siarka Tarnobrzeg 2-2 Star Starachowice	III Liga - Group 4
May 17, 2025	Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1-2 Star Starachowice	III Liga - Group 4
Oct 18, 2024	Star Starachowice 0-3 Siarka Tarnobrzeg	III Liga - Group 4
Sep 25, 2024	Siarka Tarnobrzeg 4-1 Star Starachowice	Cup

Last archived meeting: Star Starachowice vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg on Mar 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Siarka Tarnobrzeg score 1.4 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Star Starachowice score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1.4	2.0	1	11/15	8/15
Star Starachowice	1.3	1.9	2	11/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Siarka Tarnobrzeg sit 16th in III Liga - Group 4 (4 points from 5 matches) and Star Starachowice sit 15th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
15	Star Starachowice	5	1	2	2	5	8	5
16	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	5	1	1	3	6	8	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Star Starachowice?: The Footlab model makes Siarka Tarnobrzeg the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Star Starachowice.
Where and when is Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Star Starachowice played?: Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Star Starachowice is played on April 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSiR Wisła, in the III Liga - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.