Where and when is Naprzód vs Busko-Zdroj played?

Naprzód vs Busko-Zdroj is played on September 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Naprzód, in the III Liga - Group 4.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Naprzód vs Busko-Zdroj: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 10Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Naprzód, Jędrzejów

Naprzód

Busko-Zdroj

The Footlab model makes Busko-Zdroj the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Naprzód. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Naprzód vs Busko-Zdroj?

A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Naprzód (1,688) and Busko-Zdroj (1,715).

Naprzód win37 %

Draw25 %

Busko-Zdroj win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Naprzód have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Busko-Zdroj have 2, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Naprzód
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Chełmianka Chełm(home)	0-2	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026	Moravia Morawica(away)	2-4	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(home)	2-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026	Wiślanie Jaśkowice(away)	0-2	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 1, 2026	Korona Kielce II(home)	5-4	III Liga - Group 4

Busko-Zdroj
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Star Starachowice(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026	Podlasie Biała Podlaska(away)	1-2	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026	Siarka Tarnobrzeg(home)	1-4	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026	KS Wieczysta Krakow II(away)	3-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 2, 2026	Wisłoka Dębica(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Naprzód win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Busko-Zdroj win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jul 18, 2026	Busko-Zdroj 0-3 Naprzód	Friendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Busko-Zdroj vs Naprzód on Jul 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Naprzód score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Busko-Zdroj score 1.6 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Naprzód	1.5	1.8	2	7/15	9/15
Busko-Zdroj	1.6	2.1	0	6/8	6/8

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Naprzód sit 12th in III Liga - Group 4 (6 points from 5 matches) and Busko-Zdroj sit 14th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
12	Naprzód	5	2	0	3	9	13	6
14	Busko-Zdroj	5	1	2	2	7	9	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Naprzód vs Busko-Zdroj?: The Footlab model makes Busko-Zdroj the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Naprzód.
Where and when is Naprzód vs Busko-Zdroj played?: Naprzód vs Busko-Zdroj is played on September 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Naprzód, in the III Liga - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.