Buxton vs South Shields: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 28Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Silverlands, Buxton, Derbyshire
The Footlab AI model makes Buxton the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for South Shields. The most likely score is 1-1. If Buxton wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Buxton vs South Shields?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Buxton (1,889) and South Shields (1,966).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Buxton vs South Shields
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Buxton
Not enough data to predict the Buxton lineup.
South Shields
4-3-3- 21C. Kelly
- 9P. Blackett
- 4Cain Sykes
- 19C. Scott
- 10W. Jenkins
- 30D. Carson
- 2R. Tinkler
- 5D. Morse
- 3Oliver Bainbridge
- 29Daniel Dodds
- 1J. Sheik
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 12:02 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Buxton have 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; South Shields have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | King's Lynn Town(away) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 3, 2026 | South Shields(home) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | South Shields(away) | 0-4 | National League - North |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ashton United(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Chester(home) | 3-1 | National League - North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Macclesfield(away) | 3-4 | National League - North |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Buxton(away) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Brackley Town(away) | 2-3 | National League - North |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Buxton(home) | 4-0 | National League - North |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Witton Albion(home) | 7-0 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Buxton win, 2 draws, 3 South Shields wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Buxton 0-2 South Shields | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | South Shields 4-0 Buxton | National League - North |
| May 2, 2026 | South Shields 1-0 Buxton | National League - North |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Buxton 1-1 South Shields | National League - North |
| Aug 30, 2025 | South Shields 2-2 Buxton | National League - North |
| Feb 11, 2025 | Buxton 1-0 South Shields | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: Buxton vs South Shields on Oct 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Buxton score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; South Shields score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buxton | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| South Shields | 2.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Buxton sit 10th in National League - North (16 points from 11 matches) and South Shields sit 5th (20 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | South Shields | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 17 | 20 |
| 10 | Buxton | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 19 | 16 |
A question about Buxton vs South Shields?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Buxton vs South Shields?
- The Footlab AI model makes Buxton the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for South Shields.
- Where and when is Buxton vs South Shields played?
- Buxton vs South Shields is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Silverlands, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.