Buxton vs AFC Telford United: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 29Kick-off on January 26, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The Silverlands, Buxton, Derbyshire
The Footlab model makes Buxton the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for AFC Telford United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Buxton vs AFC Telford United?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Buxton (1,888) and AFC Telford United (1,825).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Buxton have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; AFC Telford United have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hebburn Town(home) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Bedford Town(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Southport(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hereford(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Warrington Town(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hednesford Town(home) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Merthyr Town(away) | 2-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Worksop Town(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brackley Town(home) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tamworth(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Buxton win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 AFC Telford United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | Buxton 0-2 AFC Telford United | National League - North |
| Aug 23, 2025 | AFC Telford United 0-1 Buxton | National League - North |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Buxton 0-2 AFC Telford United | National League - North |
| Aug 29, 2022 | AFC Telford United 1-1 Buxton | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: Buxton vs AFC Telford United on Dec 20, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Buxton score 2.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Telford United score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buxton | 2.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| AFC Telford United | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Buxton sit 14th in National League - North (4 points from 4 matches) and AFC Telford United sit 22nd (2 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Buxton | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 22 | AFC Telford United | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Buxton vs AFC Telford United?
- The Footlab model makes Buxton the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for AFC Telford United.
- Where and when is Buxton vs AFC Telford United played?
- Buxton vs AFC Telford United is played on January 26, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at The Silverlands, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.