Buxton vs AFC Telford United: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 29Kick-off on January 26, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The Silverlands, Buxton, Derbyshire
The Footlab AI model makes Buxton the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for AFC Telford United. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,474 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Buxton vs AFC Telford United?
On Elo ratings, Buxton has 1,884 points and AFC Telford United 1,793.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Buxton vs AFC Telford United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Buxton
Not enough data to predict the Buxton lineup.
AFC Telford United
Not enough data to predict the AFC Telford United lineup.
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 12:51 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Buxton have 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; AFC Telford United have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Marine(home) | 4-2 | National League - North |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Harborough Town(home) | 3-0 | National League - North |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Chorley(away) | 3-2 | National League - North |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Worksop Town(home) | 2-2 | National League - North |
| Oct 10, 2026 | King's Lynn Town(away) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Southport(away) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Hereford(away) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Hebburn Town(home) | 2-2 | National League - North |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Darlington 1883(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Chorley(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Buxton win, 1 draw, 2 AFC Telford United wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | Buxton 0-2 AFC Telford United | National League - North |
| Aug 23, 2025 | AFC Telford United 0-1 Buxton | National League - North |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Buxton 0-2 AFC Telford United | National League - North |
| Aug 29, 2022 | AFC Telford United 1-1 Buxton | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: Buxton vs AFC Telford United on Dec 20, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Buxton score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Telford United score 1.2 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buxton | 1.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| AFC Telford United | 1.2 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Buxton sit 5th in National League - North (26 points from 15 matches) and AFC Telford United sit 15th (19 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Buxton | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 25 | 26 |
| 15 | AFC Telford United | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 21 | 19 |
A question about Buxton vs AFC Telford United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Buxton vs AFC Telford United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Buxton the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for AFC Telford United.
- Where and when is Buxton vs AFC Telford United played?
- Buxton vs AFC Telford United is played on January 26, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at The Silverlands, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.