Spalding United vs Chorley: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 28Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Sir Halley Stewart Field, Spalding, Lincolnshire
The Footlab AI model makes Spalding United the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Chorley. The most likely score is 1-1. If Spalding United wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spalding United vs Chorley?
Spalding United starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,962 vs 1,850).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Spalding United vs Chorley
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Spalding United
Not enough data to predict the Spalding United lineup.
Chorley
Not enough data to predict the Chorley lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 09:41 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spalding United have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Chorley have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Alvechurch(home) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Marine(away) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Bury Town(home) | 4-0 | FA Cup |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bury Town(away) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Chorley(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Worcester City(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | AFC Telford United(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Barton Town Old Boys(away) | 4-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Spalding United(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Rylands(away) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Spalding United wins, 0 draws, 1 Chorley win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Chorley 2-1 Spalding United | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: Chorley vs Spalding United on Sep 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Spalding United score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Chorley score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spalding United | 1.5 | 0.8 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Chorley | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spalding United sit 9th in National League - North (17 points from 11 matches) and Chorley sit 10th (17 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Spalding United | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
| 10 | Chorley | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 17 |
A question about Spalding United vs Chorley?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spalding United vs Chorley?
- The Footlab AI model makes Spalding United the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Chorley.
- Where and when is Spalding United vs Chorley played?
- Spalding United vs Chorley is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Sir Halley Stewart Field, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.