Cacahuatique vs Inca Aruba: prediction and stats
Primera DivisionApertura - 18Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Chapeltique, Chapeltique
The Footlab AI model makes Cacahuatique the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Inca Aruba. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cacahuatique wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cacahuatique vs Inca Aruba?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Cacahuatique (1,497) and Inca Aruba (1,475).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cacahuatique vs Inca Aruba
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cacahuatique
Not enough data to predict the Cacahuatique lineup.
Inca Aruba
Not enough data to predict the Inca Aruba lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 09:15 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cacahuatique have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Inca Aruba have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Alianza(home) | 0-0 | Primera Division |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Fuerte San Francisco(away) | 1-2 | Primera Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Águila(away) | 1-4 | Primera Division |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Atletico Balboa(away) | 2-0 | Primera Division |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Isidro Metapán(away) | 0-2 | Primera Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Firpo(away) | 0-2 | Primera Division |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Platense(home) | 1-4 | Primera Division |
| Oct 5, 2026 | FAS(away) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Municipal Limeño(home) | 2-1 | Primera Division |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Alianza(away) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Cacahuatique wins, 1 draw, 0 Inca Aruba wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Inca Aruba 1-1 Cacahuatique | Primera Division |
Last archived meeting: Inca Aruba vs Cacahuatique on Aug 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cacahuatique score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Inca Aruba score 0.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cacahuatique | 0.9 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Inca Aruba | 0.8 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cacahuatique sit 11th in Primera Division (12 points from 16 matches) and Inca Aruba sit 9th (16 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Inca Aruba | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 29 | 16 |
| 11 | Cacahuatique | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 26 | 12 |
A question about Cacahuatique vs Inca Aruba?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cacahuatique vs Inca Aruba?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cacahuatique the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Inca Aruba.
- Where and when is Cacahuatique vs Inca Aruba played?
- Cacahuatique vs Inca Aruba is played on October 31, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Chapeltique, in the Primera Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.