Atletico Balboa vs Alianza: prediction and stats
Primera DivisionApertura - 18Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Alianza the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Atletico Balboa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Alianza wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,617 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atletico Balboa vs Alianza?
Alianza starts as the favourite with a 162-point Elo edge (1,636 vs 1,474).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Atletico Balboa vs Alianza
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Atletico Balboa
Not enough data to predict the Atletico Balboa lineup.
Alianza
4-3-3- 10L. Menjívar
- 9Gustavo Souza
- 10L. Menjivar
- 7M. Mier
- 6N. Orellana
- 8H. Osorio
- 19N. A. Rodriguez Arias
- 16H. Romero
- 23J. Monteagudo
- 3J. Sibrián
- 13M. González
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 07:55 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico Balboa have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Alianza have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | FAS(home) | 0-1 | Primera Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Isidro Metapán(away) | 2-3 | Primera Division |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Cacahuatique(home) | 0-2 | Primera Division |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Inter(away) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Firpo(away) | 1-3 | Primera Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Cacahuatique(away) | 0-0 | Primera Division |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Inter(home) | 2-2 | Primera Division |
| Oct 9, 2026 | FAS(away) | 1-2 | Primera Division |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Firpo(home) | 2-2 | Primera Division |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Platense(home) | 2-1 | Primera Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Atletico Balboa wins, 0 draws, 1 Alianza win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2026 | Alianza 2-0 Atletico Balboa | Primera Division |
Last archived meeting: Alianza vs Atletico Balboa on Aug 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico Balboa score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Alianza score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Balboa | 1.0 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Alianza | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico Balboa sit 10th in Primera Division (13 points from 15 matches) and Alianza sit 7th (19 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Alianza | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 22 | 21 | 19 |
| 10 | Atletico Balboa | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 23 | 13 |
A question about Atletico Balboa vs Alianza?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atletico Balboa vs Alianza?
- The Footlab AI model makes Alianza the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Atletico Balboa.
- Where and when is Atletico Balboa vs Alianza played?
- Atletico Balboa vs Alianza is played on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC), in the Primera Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.