Cadiz vs AD Ceuta FC: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla, Cádiz
The Footlab AI model makes Cadiz the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for AD Ceuta FC. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cadiz wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cadiz vs AD Ceuta FC?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Cadiz (1,786) and AD Ceuta FC (1,853).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cadiz vs AD Ceuta FC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cadiz
4-2-3-1- 21V. Kopotun
- 5M. Doué
- 18Jandro Orellana
- 24Ibon Sánchez
- 16Antonio Cordero
- 20Borja Vazquez
- 4Javi Castro
- 27J. Diaz Peregrina
- 6Manu Fernández
- 3Sergio Arribas
- 1David Gil
AD Ceuta FC
4-3-3- 8Kuki
- 7Alejandro Camacho Ramírez
- 22K. Koné
- 15Joaquín
- 23A. Tuhami
- 20Álex Meléndez
- 6Carlos Hernández
- 3José Matos
- 4Albert Caparrós
- 34D. Mas
- 13Guille Vallejo
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 06:08 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cadiz have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; AD Ceuta FC have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Leganes(home) | 4-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Tenerife(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Girona(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Las Palmas(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Almeria(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Castellón(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Valladolid(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Burgos(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Cadiz wins, 1 draw, 3 AD Ceuta FC wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Cadiz 1-3 AD Ceuta FC | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 28, 2026 | AD Ceuta FC 2-1 Cadiz | Segunda División |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Cadiz 0-0 AD Ceuta FC | Segunda División |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Cadiz 0-3 AD Ceuta FC | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Cadiz score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; AD Ceuta FC score 1.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cadiz | 1.7 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| AD Ceuta FC | 1.2 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cadiz sit 19th in Segunda División (7 points from 8 matches) and AD Ceuta FC sit 21st (5 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Cadiz | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 7 |
| 21 | AD Ceuta FC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 5 |
A question about Cadiz vs AD Ceuta FC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cadiz vs AD Ceuta FC?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cadiz the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for AD Ceuta FC.
- Where and when is Cadiz vs AD Ceuta FC played?
- Cadiz vs AD Ceuta FC is played on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.