Granada CF vs Valladolid: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes, Granada
The Footlab AI model makes Granada CF the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Valladolid. The most likely score is 1-1. If Granada CF wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Granada CF vs Valladolid?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Granada CF (1,867) and Valladolid (1,824).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Granada CF vs Valladolid
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Granada CF
4-3-3- 11José Arnáiz
- 9Alejandro Marqués
- 7Sergio Rodelas
- 6Gumbau
- 4Rubén Alcaraz
- 10Jorge Pascual
- 18Sergio López
- 5Manu Lama
- 23B. Gimber
- 16Diego Pampín
- 13Raúl Lizoain
Valladolid
4-1-3-2- 9Juanmi Latasa
- 19Adrian Arnuncio
- 21J. Ponceau
- 30Víctor Fernández
- 24S. Jurić
- 7Luis Chacón
- 4David Torres
- 27Iván Garriel
- 14Iván Alejo
- 12Miguel Rubio
- 1Álvaro Aceves
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 05:46 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Granada CF have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Valladolid have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(away) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 26, 2026 | FC Andorra(home) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Leganes(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Albacete(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Eibar(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Las Palmas(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Cordoba(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | AD Ceuta FC(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Oviedo(home) | 0-3 | Segunda División |
| Sep 5, 2026 | FC Andorra(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Granada CF wins, 0 draws, 3 Valladolid wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Granada CF 5-1 Valladolid | Segunda División |
| Nov 3, 2025 | Valladolid 2-1 Granada CF | Segunda División |
| Apr 11, 2021 | Valladolid 1-2 Granada CF | La Liga |
| Nov 22, 2020 | Granada CF 1-3 Valladolid | La Liga |
| Aug 28, 2020 | Granada CF 0-3 Valladolid | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 15, 2020 | Granada CF 2-1 Valladolid | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Granada CF vs Valladolid on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Granada CF score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Valladolid score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Granada CF | 1.4 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Valladolid | 1.3 | 1.2 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Granada CF sit 9th in Segunda División (11 points from 8 matches) and Valladolid sit 14th (9 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Granada CF | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 11 |
| 14 | Valladolid | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 9 |
A question about Granada CF vs Valladolid?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Granada CF vs Valladolid?
- The Footlab AI model makes Granada CF the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Valladolid.
- Where and when is Granada CF vs Valladolid played?
- Granada CF vs Valladolid is played on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.