Leganes vs Mallorca: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Butarque, Leganés
The Footlab AI model makes Mallorca the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Leganes. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mallorca wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leganes vs Mallorca?
Mallorca starts as the favourite with a 157-point Elo edge (2,002 vs 1,845).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Leganes vs Mallorca
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Leganes
3-5-2- 19P. Soko
- 21Álvaro Morata
- 8Y. Kechta
- 20Miguel Atienza
- 11Naim García
- 22Álex Sancris
- 17Ismaël Gharbi
- 2Marvel
- 6Lalo Aguilar
- 3Javi Montero
- 13L. Zidane
Mallorca
4-1-3-2- 18Fuentes
- 16A. Buksa
- 7Álex Sala
- 20Pablo Torre
- 8Manu Morlanes
- 33Adrian Liso
- 21Raíllo
- 22A. Souhmahoro
- 34M. Calatayud
- 15John Nwankwo
- 1Arnau Tenas
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 12:47 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leganes have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Mallorca have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 0-4 | Segunda División |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Castellón(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Granada CF(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Tenerife(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Las Palmas(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Girona(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Almeria(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sabadell(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Eldense(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Leganes win, 2 draws, 3 Mallorca wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2025 | Mallorca 0-0 Leganes | La Liga |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Leganes 0-1 Mallorca | La Liga |
| Apr 1, 2021 | Mallorca 1-0 Leganes | Segunda División |
| Dec 12, 2020 | Leganes 0-1 Mallorca | Segunda División |
| Jun 19, 2020 | Mallorca 1-1 Leganes | La Liga |
| Oct 26, 2019 | Leganes 1-0 Mallorca | La Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Leganes score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mallorca score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leganes | 0.9 | 1.1 | 7 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Mallorca | 1.5 | 0.7 | 9 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leganes sit 13th in Segunda División (11 points from 8 matches) and Mallorca sit 5th (14 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mallorca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 14 |
| 13 | Leganes | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 11 |
A question about Leganes vs Mallorca?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leganes vs Mallorca?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mallorca the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Leganes.
- Where and when is Leganes vs Mallorca played?
- Leganes vs Mallorca is played on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Butarque, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.