Almeria vs Oviedo: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Power Horse Stadium – Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos, Almería
The Footlab AI model makes Almeria the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Oviedo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Almeria wins, the most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,075 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Almeria vs Oviedo?
Almeria starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (2,103 vs 2,003).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Almeria vs Oviedo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Almeria
4-2-3-1- 24Miguel de la Fuente
- 14Javi Muñoz
- 17B. Cipenga
- 11Sergio Arribas
- 29S. Džodić
- 33Quim Junyent
- 18F. Bonini
- 22D. Chirino
- 2Marcos Luna
- 15Leonardo Lelo
- 1Andrés Fernández
Oviedo
4-4-2- 10Alberto Reina
- 18V. Mingo
- 5Y. Didi
- 8Mikel Goti
- 16Aritz Aldasoro
- 32Enzo Perez
- 12Dani Calvo
- 23Carlos Domínguez
- 15S. Rodriguez
- 21David Jiménez
- 13Aarón Escandell
Computed on October 23, 2026 at 05:22 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Almeria have 10 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats; Oviedo have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(away) | 4-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Leganes(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Burgos(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Mallorca(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | AD Ceuta FC(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Eibar(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Eldense(away) | 1-4 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sabadell(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Almeria win, 2 draws, 3 Oviedo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 11, 2025 | Oviedo 1-1 Almeria | Segunda División |
| Jun 7, 2025 | Almeria 1-2 Oviedo | Segunda División |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Almeria 1-1 Oviedo | Segunda División |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Oviedo 3-2 Almeria | Segunda División |
| Jan 29, 2022 | Oviedo 2-0 Almeria | Segunda División |
| Aug 20, 2021 | Almeria 2-1 Oviedo | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Almeria score 1.8 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Oviedo score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almeria | 1.8 | 0.8 | 7 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Oviedo | 1.4 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Almeria sit 1st in Segunda División (24 points from 10 matches) and Oviedo sit 9th (17 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Almeria | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 7 | 24 |
| 9 | Oviedo | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 17 |
A question about Almeria vs Oviedo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Almeria vs Oviedo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Almeria the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Oviedo.
- Where and when is Almeria vs Oviedo played?
- Almeria vs Oviedo is played on October 24, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Power Horse Stadium – Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.