Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de Gran Canaria, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria
The Footlab model makes Las Palmas the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Real Sociedad II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II?
Las Palmas starts as the favourite with a 130-point Elo edge (2,019 vs 1,889).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Las Palmas have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Real Sociedad II have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | AD Ceuta FC(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Albacete(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | NEOM(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | União de Leiria(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Albacete(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Castellón(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Zaragoza(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Huesca(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Eibar(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Las Palmas win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Real Sociedad II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2026 | Real Sociedad II 1-1 Las Palmas | Segunda División |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Las Palmas 2-1 Real Sociedad II | Segunda División |
| Jan 30, 2022 | Las Palmas 0-0 Real Sociedad II | Segunda División |
| Oct 29, 2021 | Real Sociedad II 0-1 Las Palmas | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Real Sociedad II vs Las Palmas on Jan 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Las Palmas score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Real Sociedad II score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Real Sociedad II | 0.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Las Palmas sit 1st in Segunda División (6 points from 2 matches) and Real Sociedad II sit 11th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Las Palmas | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 11 | Real Sociedad II | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II?
- The Footlab model makes Las Palmas the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Real Sociedad II.
- Where and when is Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II played?
- Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II is played on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de Gran Canaria, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.