Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de Gran Canaria, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria
The Footlab AI model makes Las Palmas the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Real Sociedad II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Las Palmas wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II?
Las Palmas starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,921 vs 1,815).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Las Palmas
4-4-2- 10Jesé
- 14Manu Fuster
- 11T. Miyashiro
- 12E. Loiodice
- 20Kirian Rodríguez
- 24Iván Jaime
- 25Valentín Pezzolesi
- 21G. Bonfanti
- 4Álex Suárez
- 15Juan Herzog
- 13José Caro
Real Sociedad II
4-2-3-1- 18Gorka Carrera
- 7Dani Díaz
- 14Tomás Carbonell
- 17Lander Astiazarán
- 16Gorka Gorosabel
- 8Ibai Aguirre
- 3Jon Balda
- 29Iker Ropero
- 2Jon Garro
- 5K. Kita
- 1Aitor Fraga
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 05:57 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Las Palmas have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Real Sociedad II have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Valladolid(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Eibar(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Burgos(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Leganes(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Granada CF(home) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Leicester City U21(away) | 4-0 | Premier League International Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | AD Ceuta FC(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Mallorca(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Aston Villa U21(away) | 1-5 | Premier League International Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Las Palmas wins, 2 draws, 0 Real Sociedad II wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2026 | Real Sociedad II 1-1 Las Palmas | Segunda División |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Las Palmas 2-1 Real Sociedad II | Segunda División |
| Jan 30, 2022 | Las Palmas 0-0 Real Sociedad II | Segunda División |
| Oct 29, 2021 | Real Sociedad II 0-1 Las Palmas | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Real Sociedad II vs Las Palmas on Jan 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Las Palmas score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Real Sociedad II score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Real Sociedad II | 1.5 | 1.6 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Las Palmas sit 11th in Segunda División (11 points from 8 matches) and Real Sociedad II sit 16th (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Las Palmas | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 11 |
| 16 | Real Sociedad II | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 8 |
A question about Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Las Palmas the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Real Sociedad II.
- Where and when is Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II played?
- Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II is played on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de Gran Canaria, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.