Caernarfon Town vs Barry Town: result 5-2 and analysis
Premier LeagueConference League Play-offs - 1st RoundKick-off on April 26, 2025 at 11:15 AM (UTC)The Oval, Caernarfon, Gwynedd
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What was the result of Caernarfon Town vs Barry Town?
Caernarfon Town won 5-2 on April 26, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 6′E. RichardsBarry Town
- 23′L. LloydCaernarfon Town
- 45′L. LloydCaernarfon Town
- 46′A. DaviesCaernarfon Town
- 58′L. LloydCaernarfon Town (pen.)
- 73′L. LloydCaernarfon Town
- 86′K. McLaggonBarry Town
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caernarfon Town have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Barry Town have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2025 | Cardiff MET(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Penybont(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Haverfordwest County AFC(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Mar 21, 2025 | Bala Town(home) | 5-0 | Premier League |
| Mar 11, 2025 | The New Saints(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2025 | Briton Ferry(home) | 5-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 13, 2025 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Mar 28, 2025 | Newtown AFC(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Flint Town United(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Mar 11, 2025 | Aberystwyth Town(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Caernarfon Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Barry Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2024 | Caernarfon Town 3-2 Barry Town | Premier League |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Barry Town 1-1 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
| Nov 19, 2023 | Caernarfon Town 2-3 Barry Town | Premier League |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Barry Town 0-3 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
| Feb 26, 2022 | Barry Town 1-2 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
| Oct 30, 2021 | Caernarfon Town 1-2 Barry Town | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Caernarfon Town vs Barry Town on Dec 14, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Caernarfon Town score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Barry Town score 1.9 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caernarfon Town | 1.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Barry Town | 1.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caernarfon Town sit 6th in Premier League (9 points from 4 matches) and Barry Town sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barry Town | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
| 6 | Caernarfon Town | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 9 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy