Barry Town vs Haverfordwest County AFC: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Jenner Park, Barry / Y Barri, Vale of Glamorgan
The Footlab model makes Barry Town the favourite at 66%, against 22% for a draw and 12% for Haverfordwest County AFC. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Barry Town vs Haverfordwest County AFC?
Barry Town starts as the favourite with a 196-point Elo edge (1,974 vs 1,777).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barry Town have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Haverfordwest County AFC have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Holywell(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cardiff MET(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Flint Town United(away) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Cambrian & Clydach(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Gloucester City(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Cambrian & Clydach(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Penybont(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | The New Saints(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Airbus UK(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Barry Town win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Haverfordwest County AFC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Barry Town 1-1 Haverfordwest County AFC | Premier League |
| Nov 28, 2025 | Barry Town 4-0 Haverfordwest County AFC | Premier League |
| Nov 4, 2025 | Haverfordwest County AFC 0-2 Barry Town | League Cup |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Haverfordwest County AFC 2-3 Barry Town | Premier League |
| Jan 14, 2025 | Barry Town 1-1 Haverfordwest County AFC | Premier League |
| Sep 24, 2024 | Haverfordwest County AFC 1-1 Barry Town | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Barry Town vs Haverfordwest County AFC on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Barry Town score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Haverfordwest County AFC score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barry Town | 1.9 | 0.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Haverfordwest County AFC | 0.9 | 1.4 | 5 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Barry Town sit 1st in Premier League (12 points from 4 matches) and Haverfordwest County AFC sit 14th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barry Town | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
| 14 | Haverfordwest County AFC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Barry Town vs Haverfordwest County AFC?
- The Footlab model makes Barry Town the favourite at 66%, against 22% for a draw and 12% for Haverfordwest County AFC.
- Where and when is Barry Town vs Haverfordwest County AFC played?
- Barry Town vs Haverfordwest County AFC is played on October 23, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Jenner Park, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.