Caernarfon Town vs Penybont: result 3-1 and analysis
Premier LeagueConference League Play-offs - FinalKick-off on May 18, 2024 at 01:45 PM (UTC)The Oval, Caernarfon, Gwynedd
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What was the result of Caernarfon Town vs Penybont?
Caernarfon Town won 3-1 on May 18, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 20′L. LloydCaernarfon Town
- 26′Z. ClarkeCaernarfon Town (pen.)
- 37′S. BradleyCaernarfon Town
- 90′R. ReynoldsPenybont
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caernarfon Town have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Penybont have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2024 | Cardiff MET(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Bala Town(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Newtown AFC(away) | 0-5 | Premier League |
| Apr 5, 2024 | The New Saints(away) | 1-7 | Premier League |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Cardiff MET(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2024 | Newtown AFC(away) | 5-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Haverfordwest County AFC(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Pontypridd Town(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Aberystwyth Town(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Barry Town(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Caernarfon Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Penybont win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2023 | Caernarfon Town 2-4 Penybont | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Penybont 3-2 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
| Jan 7, 2023 | Penybont 5-1 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
| Nov 5, 2022 | Caernarfon Town 0-2 Penybont | Premier League |
| Apr 15, 2022 | Caernarfon Town 1-0 Penybont | Premier League |
| Mar 5, 2022 | Penybont 0-3 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Caernarfon Town vs Penybont on Nov 4, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Caernarfon Town score 1.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Penybont score 1.8 and concede 0.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caernarfon Town | 1.3 | 2.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Penybont | 1.8 | 0.6 | 9 | 3/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caernarfon Town sit 6th in Premier League (9 points from 4 matches) and Penybont sit 3rd (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Penybont | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Caernarfon Town | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 9 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy