Holywell vs Penybont: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Bartons North Wales Stadium, Holywell
The Footlab AI model makes Penybont the favourite at 67%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for Holywell. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Holywell vs Penybont?
Penybont starts as the favourite with a 246-point Elo edge (1,981 vs 1,735).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Holywell vs Penybont
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Holywell
4-3-3- 27M. Yonsian
- 18Caio Hughes
- 19J. Sconce
- 34R. Edwards
- 8T. Dogan
- 7T. Bibby
- 12Jack Tierney
- 6D. Sullivan
- 3M. Davies
- 2Casey Bedford
- 1A. Swindell
Penybont
4-3-3- 7N. Wood
- 23T. Walker
- 20M. Manga
- 4T. Mehew
- 8Owen Robert Pritchard
- 19R. Hill
- 32L. Shephard
- 6M. Davies
- 17D. Jefferies
- 33E. Vaughan
- 22A. Pennock
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 02:08 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Holywell have 1 win, 2 draws and 12 defeats; Penybont have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | The New Saints(home) | 1-6 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ammanford AFC(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Briton Ferry(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Haverfordwest County AFC(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Colwyn Bay(home) | 0-5 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Barry Town(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Airbus UK(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Ammanford AFC(away) | 5-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Briton Ferry(home) | 3-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Holywell wins, 0 draws, 1 Penybont win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2023 | Penybont 2-1 Holywell | Welsh Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Holywell score 1.3 and concede 3.1 goals per match over their last 15; Penybont score 1.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holywell | 1.3 | 3.1 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Penybont | 1.7 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Holywell sit 16th in Premier League (2 points from 13 matches) and Penybont sit 3rd (30 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Penybont | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 30 |
| 16 | Holywell | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 44 | 2 |
A question about Holywell vs Penybont?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Holywell vs Penybont?
- The Footlab AI model makes Penybont the favourite at 67%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for Holywell.
- Where and when is Holywell vs Penybont played?
- Holywell vs Penybont is played on October 23, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Bartons North Wales Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.