Caernarfon Town vs Porthmadog: result 4-0 and analysis
Welsh Cup1st RoundKick-off on October 4, 2014 at 01:00 PM (UTC)The Oval, Bedworth, Warwickshire
Full time
What was the result of Caernarfon Town vs Porthmadog?
Caernarfon Town won 4-0 on October 4, 2014.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 3 matches in all competitions, Caernarfon Town have 1 win, 1 draw and 1 defeat; Porthmadog have 4, 0 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2013 | Porthmadog(home) | 1-2 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 12, 2013 | Llanrug United(home) | 4-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 5, 2012 | Conwy Borough(home) | 0-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2014 | Holywell(away) | 1-2 | Welsh Cup |
| Feb 15, 2014 | Monmouth Town(home) | 3-2 | Welsh Cup |
| Dec 7, 2013 | Sully Sports(home) | 2-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Nov 8, 2013 | Caernarfon Town(away) | 2-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 12, 2013 | Mold Alexandra(home) | 1-0 | Welsh Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Caernarfon Town wins, 0 draws, 1 Porthmadog win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2013 | Caernarfon Town 1-2 Porthmadog | Welsh Cup |
Last archived meeting: Caernarfon Town vs Porthmadog on Nov 8, 2013
How many goals should we expect?
Caernarfon Town score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 3; Porthmadog score 1.8 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caernarfon Town | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1 | 2/3 | 2/3 |
| Porthmadog | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1 | 5/6 | 5/6 |
Over the last 3 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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