Caersws vs Mold Alexandra: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 27Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Recreation Ground, Caersws, Powys
The Footlab AI model makes Mold Alexandra the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Caersws. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mold Alexandra wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,390 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Caersws vs Mold Alexandra?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Caersws (1,682) and Mold Alexandra (1,749).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Caersws vs Mold Alexandra
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Caersws
Not enough data to predict the Caersws lineup.
Mold Alexandra
Not enough data to predict the Mold Alexandra lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 03:46 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caersws have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Mold Alexandra have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bala Town(home) | 3-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Llanuwchllyn(away) | 5-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Brickfield Rangers(home) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Ruthin Town(away) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Brickfield Rangers(away) | 4-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Newtown AFC(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Bala Town(away) | 4-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Llanuwchllyn(home) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Gresford Athletic(away) | 5-1 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Caersws win, 2 draws, 3 Mold Alexandra wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Mold Alexandra 2-2 Caersws | FAW Championship |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Mold Alexandra 0-2 Caersws | FAW Championship |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Caersws 0-2 Mold Alexandra | FAW Championship |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Mold Alexandra 2-2 Caersws | FAW Championship |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Caersws 0-1 Mold Alexandra | FAW Championship |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Mold Alexandra 2-1 Caersws | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Mold Alexandra vs Caersws on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Caersws score 2.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Mold Alexandra score 2.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caersws | 2.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Mold Alexandra | 2.6 | 1.1 | 4 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caersws sit 6th in FAW Championship (18 points from 10 matches) and Mold Alexandra sit 4th (21 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mold Alexandra | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 14 | 21 |
| 6 | Caersws | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 18 |
A question about Caersws vs Mold Alexandra?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Caersws vs Mold Alexandra?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mold Alexandra the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Caersws.
- Where and when is Caersws vs Mold Alexandra played?
- Caersws vs Mold Alexandra is played on March 27, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Recreation Ground, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.