Caersws vs Mold Alexandra: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 27Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Recreation Ground, Caersws, Powys
The Footlab model makes Caersws the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Mold Alexandra. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Caersws vs Mold Alexandra?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Caersws (1,585) and Mold Alexandra (1,625).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caersws have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Mold Alexandra have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rhyl(away) | 2-4 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gresford Athletic(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Mold Alexandra(away) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Denbigh Town(home) | 6-0 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Buckley Town(home) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Buckley Town(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Guilsfield(away) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Caersws(home) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Flint Mountain(home) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Caersws win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Mold Alexandra win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Mold Alexandra 2-2 Caersws | FAW Championship |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Mold Alexandra 0-2 Caersws | FAW Championship |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Caersws 0-2 Mold Alexandra | FAW Championship |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Mold Alexandra 2-2 Caersws | FAW Championship |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Caersws 0-1 Mold Alexandra | FAW Championship |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Mold Alexandra 2-1 Caersws | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Mold Alexandra vs Caersws on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Caersws score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Mold Alexandra score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caersws | 1.7 | 1.6 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Mold Alexandra | 1.6 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caersws sit 10th in FAW Championship (4 points from 3 matches) and Mold Alexandra sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mold Alexandra | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 10 | Caersws | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Caersws vs Mold Alexandra?
- The Footlab model makes Caersws the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Mold Alexandra.
- Where and when is Caersws vs Mold Alexandra played?
- Caersws vs Mold Alexandra is played on March 27, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Recreation Ground, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.