Bala Town vs Denbigh Town: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 27Kick-off on March 26, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Maes Tegid, Bala, Gwynedd
The Footlab AI model makes Bala Town the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Denbigh Town. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,900 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bala Town vs Denbigh Town?
Bala Town starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,730 vs 1,612).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bala Town vs Denbigh Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bala Town
Not enough data to predict the Bala Town lineup.
Denbigh Town
Not enough data to predict the Denbigh Town lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 12:29 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bala Town have 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats; Denbigh Town have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur(home) | 3-4 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Buckley Town(home) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Caersws(away) | 3-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Mold Alexandra(home) | 2-4 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Penrhyncoch(away) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Bangor City 1876 FC(home) | 0-2 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Guilsfield(away) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur(home) | 2-4 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Brickfield Rangers(away) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Bala Town(home) | 5-2 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Bala Town wins, 0 draws, 1 Denbigh Town win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2026 | Denbigh Town 5-2 Bala Town | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Denbigh Town vs Bala Town on Sep 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bala Town score 2.1 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Denbigh Town score 1.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bala Town | 2.1 | 2.0 | 3 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Denbigh Town | 1.5 | 2.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bala Town sit 5th in FAW Championship (19 points from 11 matches) and Denbigh Town sit 12th (10 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bala Town | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 20 | 19 |
| 12 | Denbigh Town | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 23 | 10 |
A question about Bala Town vs Denbigh Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bala Town vs Denbigh Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bala Town the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Denbigh Town.
- Where and when is Bala Town vs Denbigh Town played?
- Bala Town vs Denbigh Town is played on March 26, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Maes Tegid, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.