Trival Valderas vs Leganés II: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 25Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Canaleja, Alcorcón
The Footlab AI model makes Trival Valderas the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Leganés II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Trival Valderas wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 3,883 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 30, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Trival Valderas vs Leganés II?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Trival Valderas (1,848) and Leganés II (1,811).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Trival Valderas vs Leganés II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Trival Valderas
Not enough data to predict the Trival Valderas lineup.
Leganés II
Not enough data to predict the Leganés II lineup.
Computed on October 30, 2026 at 03:29 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trival Valderas have 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats; Leganés II have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Leganés II(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Cala Pozuelo(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano II(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Las Rozas(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Real Aranjuez(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Trival Valderas(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | RC Alcobendas(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Galapagar(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Móstoles(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cala Pozuelo(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Trival Valderas wins, 3 draws, 1 Leganés II win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Leganés II 2-2 Trival Valderas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 24, 2026 | Trival Valderas 1-1 Leganés II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 17, 2026 | Leganés II 0-1 Trival Valderas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Leganés II 0-1 Trival Valderas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Trival Valderas 0-2 Leganés II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Trival Valderas 1-1 Leganés II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
Last archived meeting: Leganés II vs Trival Valderas on Oct 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Trival Valderas score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Leganés II score 1.6 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trival Valderas | 1.3 | 1.0 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Leganés II | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Trival Valderas sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (12 points from 7 matches) and Leganés II sit 10th (10 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Trival Valderas | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 12 |
| 10 | Leganés II | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 10 |
A question about Trival Valderas vs Leganés II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Trival Valderas vs Leganés II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Trival Valderas the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Leganés II.
- Where and when is Trival Valderas vs Leganés II played?
- Trival Valderas vs Leganés II is played on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Canaleja, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Mar 7, 2027TorrejónvsPozuelo Alarcón
- Mar 7, 2027Unión AdarvevsParla Escuela
- Mar 7, 2027Colonia MoscardóvsRayo Vallecano II
- Mar 7, 2027SS Reyes IIvsCala Pozuelo
- Mar 7, 2027RC AlcobendasvsGalapagar