Where and when is Trival Valderas vs Leganés II played?

Trival Valderas vs Leganés II is played on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Canaleja, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Trival Valderas vs Leganés II: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 25Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Canaleja, Alcorcón

Trival Valderas

Leganés II

The Footlab model makes Trival Valderas the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Leganés II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Trival Valderas vs Leganés II?

A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Trival Valderas (1,833) and Leganés II (1,803).

Trival Valderas win38 %

Draw26 %

Leganés II win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trival Valderas have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Leganés II have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Trival Valderas
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jun 20, 2026	La Nucía(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 14, 2026	La Nucía(home)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 7, 2026	Las Rozas(home)	3-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 31, 2026	Las Rozas(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 24, 2026	Leganés II(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Leganés II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 12, 2026	Real Valladolid II(away)	3-3	Friendlies Clubs
May 24, 2026	Trival Valderas(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 17, 2026	Trival Valderas(home)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 10, 2026	Alcobendas Sport(home)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026	Tres Cantos(away)	3-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Trival Valderas win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Leganés II win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 24, 2026	Trival Valderas 1-1 Leganés II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 17, 2026	Leganés II 0-1 Trival Valderas	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Feb 8, 2026	Leganés II 0-1 Trival Valderas	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 28, 2025	Trival Valderas 0-2 Leganés II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Feb 2, 2025	Trival Valderas 1-1 Leganés II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 21, 2024	Leganés II 1-2 Trival Valderas	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Trival Valderas vs Leganés II on May 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Trival Valderas score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Leganés II score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Trival Valderas	1.5	0.7	7	7/15	5/15
Leganés II	1.7	1.6	3	10/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Trival Valderas sit 2nd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (60 points from 34 matches) and Leganés II sit 5th (55 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Trival Valderas	34	18	6	10	50	36	60
5	Leganés II	34	15	10	10	63	33	55

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Trival Valderas vs Leganés II?: The Footlab model makes Trival Valderas the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Leganés II.
Where and when is Trival Valderas vs Leganés II played?: Trival Valderas vs Leganés II is played on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Canaleja, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.