Calahorra vs Alfaro: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 16Group 16 - 22Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Planilla, Calahorra
The Footlab AI model makes Calahorra the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Alfaro. The most likely score is 1-1. If Calahorra wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Calahorra vs Alfaro?
Calahorra starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,871 vs 1,767).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Calahorra vs Alfaro
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Calahorra
Not enough data to predict the Calahorra lineup.
Alfaro
Not enough data to predict the Alfaro lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 11:50 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Calahorra have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Alfaro have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Haro Deportivo(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Alfaro(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Calasancio(home) | 5-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Agoncillo(away) | 5-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Oyonesa(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Casalarreina(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Calahorra(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Anguiano(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Haro Deportivo(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Yagüe(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Calahorra wins, 2 draws, 1 Alfaro win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Alfaro 2-1 Calahorra | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Alfaro 0-0 Calahorra | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Calahorra 0-0 Alfaro | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Calahorra score 2.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Alfaro score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calahorra | 2.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Alfaro | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Calahorra sit 4th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 (12 points from 6 matches) and Alfaro sit 2nd (13 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Alfaro | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 13 |
| 4 | Calahorra | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 7 | 12 |
A question about Calahorra vs Alfaro?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Calahorra vs Alfaro?
- The Footlab AI model makes Calahorra the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Alfaro.
- Where and when is Calahorra vs Alfaro played?
- Calahorra vs Alfaro is played on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Planilla, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.