Match

Caldiero Terme vs Chievo: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 15Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale di Caldiero, Caldiero

Caldiero TermeChievo

The Footlab model makes Chievo the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Caldiero Terme. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Caldiero Terme vs Chievo?

A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Caldiero Terme (1,708) and Chievo (1,785).

Caldiero Terme win33 %
Draw25 %
Chievo win42 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caldiero Terme have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Chievo have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Caldiero Terme
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Varesina(home)2-2Serie D - Girone B
Apr 26, 2026Vogherese(away)6-0Serie D - Girone B
Apr 19, 2026Villa Valle(home)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 12, 2026Sondrio(away)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 2, 2026Brusaporto(home)1-2Serie D - Girone B
Chievo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 17, 2026USD Casatese(away)3-2Serie D - Girone B
May 10, 2026Milan II(home)2-1Serie D - Girone B
May 3, 2026Pavia(home)2-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 26, 2026Leon Monza e Brianza(away)2-2Serie D - Girone B
Apr 19, 2026Castellanzese(home)2-2Serie D - Girone B

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Caldiero Terme win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Chievo win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 7, 2026Caldiero Terme 4-1 ChievoSerie D - Girone B
Oct 4, 2025Chievo 1-0 Caldiero TermeSerie D - Girone B

Last archived meeting: Caldiero Terme vs Chievo on Feb 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Caldiero Terme score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Chievo score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Caldiero Terme1.81.5211/159/15
Chievo1.71.549/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Caldiero Terme sit 11th in Serie D - Girone B (45 points from 34 matches) and Chievo sit 3rd (60 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Chievo3418610524360
11Caldiero Terme3410159504045

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Caldiero Terme vs Chievo?
The Footlab model makes Chievo the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Caldiero Terme.
Where and when is Caldiero Terme vs Chievo played?
Caldiero Terme vs Chievo is played on December 6, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale di Caldiero, in the Serie D - Girone B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Caldiero Terme and Chievo

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