Match

Piacenza vs Pavonese: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 15Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Leonardo Garilli, Piacenza

PiacenzaPavonese

The Footlab AI model makes Piacenza the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Pavonese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Piacenza wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,489 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Piacenza vs Pavonese?

Piacenza starts as the favourite with a 189-point Elo edge (1,898 vs 1,709).

49%27%24%
Piacenza winDrawPavonese win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Piacenza vs Pavonese

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Piacenza

Not enough data to predict the Piacenza lineup.

Pavonese

Not enough data to predict the Pavonese lineup.

Computed on October 25, 2026 at 07:27 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Piacenza have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Pavonese have 3, 2 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Piacenza
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 25, 2026Pro Palazzolo(away)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Oct 18, 2026Caldiero Terme(home)3-1Serie D - Girone B
Oct 10, 2026Fiorenzuola(away)0-0Serie D - Girone B
Oct 7, 2026Lentigione(away)3-1Coppa Italia Serie D
Oct 4, 2026Scanzorosciate(home)4-0Serie D - Girone B
Pavonese
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 25, 2026Real Calepina(away)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Oct 18, 2026Fiorenzuola(home)2-1Serie D - Girone B
Oct 11, 2026Leon Monza e Brianza(away)0-3Serie D - Girone B
Sep 27, 2026Virtus Verona(away)1-0Serie D - Girone B
Sep 20, 2026Tritium(home)3-2Serie D - Girone B

How many goals should we expect?

Piacenza score 1.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Pavonese score 1.0 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Piacenza1.90.8310/158/15
Pavonese1.01.414/83/8

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Piacenza sit 3rd in Serie D - Girone B (15 points from 8 matches) and Pavonese sit 10th (11 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Piacenza843114615
10Pavonese832381111

A question about Piacenza vs Pavonese?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Piacenza vs Pavonese?
The Footlab AI model makes Piacenza the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Pavonese.
Where and when is Piacenza vs Pavonese played?
Piacenza vs Pavonese is played on December 6, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Leonardo Garilli, in the Serie D - Girone B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Piacenza and Pavonese

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