Caldiero Terme vs Real Calepina: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 20Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale di Caldiero, Caldiero
The Footlab model makes Caldiero Terme the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Real Calepina. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Caldiero Terme vs Real Calepina?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Caldiero Terme (1,708) and Real Calepina (1,689).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caldiero Terme have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Real Calepina have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Varesina(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Vogherese(away) | 6-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Villa Valle(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Sondrio(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Brusaporto(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Scanzorosciate(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sondrio(away) | 1-5 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Folgore Caratese(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Breno(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Milan II(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Caldiero Terme win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Real Calepina win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Caldiero Terme 3-1 Real Calepina | Serie D - Girone B |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Real Calepina 1-1 Caldiero Terme | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Real Calepina 0-1 Caldiero Terme | Serie D - Girone B |
| Dec 10, 2023 | Caldiero Terme 0-0 Real Calepina | Serie D - Girone B |
Last archived meeting: Caldiero Terme vs Real Calepina on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Caldiero Terme score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Real Calepina score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caldiero Terme | 1.8 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Real Calepina | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caldiero Terme sit 11th in Serie D - Girone B (45 points from 34 matches) and Real Calepina sit 12th (42 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Caldiero Terme | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 50 | 40 | 45 |
| 12 | Real Calepina | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 42 | 47 | 42 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Caldiero Terme vs Real Calepina?
- The Footlab model makes Caldiero Terme the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Real Calepina.
- Where and when is Caldiero Terme vs Real Calepina played?
- Caldiero Terme vs Real Calepina is played on January 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale di Caldiero, in the Serie D - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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