Match

Caldiero Terme vs Real Calepina: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 20Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale di Caldiero, Caldiero

Caldiero TermeReal Calepina

The Footlab model makes Caldiero Terme the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Real Calepina. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Caldiero Terme vs Real Calepina?

A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Caldiero Terme (1,708) and Real Calepina (1,689).

Caldiero Terme win43 %
Draw25 %
Real Calepina win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caldiero Terme have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Real Calepina have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Caldiero Terme
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Varesina(home)2-2Serie D - Girone B
Apr 26, 2026Vogherese(away)6-0Serie D - Girone B
Apr 19, 2026Villa Valle(home)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 12, 2026Sondrio(away)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 2, 2026Brusaporto(home)1-2Serie D - Girone B
Real Calepina
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Scanzorosciate(home)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 26, 2026Sondrio(away)1-5Serie D - Girone B
Apr 19, 2026Folgore Caratese(away)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 12, 2026Breno(home)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 8, 2026Milan II(home)1-0Serie D - Girone B

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Caldiero Terme win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Real Calepina win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 22, 2026Caldiero Terme 3-1 Real CalepinaSerie D - Girone B
Nov 9, 2025Real Calepina 1-1 Caldiero TermeSerie D - Girone B
Apr 21, 2024Real Calepina 0-1 Caldiero TermeSerie D - Girone B
Dec 10, 2023Caldiero Terme 0-0 Real CalepinaSerie D - Girone B

Last archived meeting: Caldiero Terme vs Real Calepina on Mar 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Caldiero Terme score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Real Calepina score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Caldiero Terme1.81.5211/159/15
Real Calepina1.11.258/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Caldiero Terme sit 11th in Serie D - Girone B (45 points from 34 matches) and Real Calepina sit 12th (42 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Caldiero Terme3410159504045
12Real Calepina3411914424742

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Caldiero Terme vs Real Calepina?
The Footlab model makes Caldiero Terme the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Real Calepina.
Where and when is Caldiero Terme vs Real Calepina played?
Caldiero Terme vs Real Calepina is played on January 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale di Caldiero, in the Serie D - Girone B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Caldiero Terme and Real Calepina

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