Piacenza vs Leon Monza e Brianza: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 20Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Leonardo Garilli, Piacenza
The Footlab model makes Piacenza the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Leon Monza e Brianza. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Piacenza vs Leon Monza e Brianza?
Piacenza starts as the favourite with a 144-point Elo edge (1,856 vs 1,712).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Piacenza have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Leon Monza e Brianza have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Lentigione(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| May 10, 2026 | Pistoiese(away) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| May 3, 2026 | Crema(home) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Coriano(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Pro Sesto(home) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | USD Casatese(away) | 0-4 | Serie D - Girone B |
| May 3, 2026 | USD Casatese(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Chievo(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Scanzorosciate(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Castellanzese(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
How many goals should we expect?
Piacenza score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Leon Monza e Brianza score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piacenza | 1.9 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Leon Monza e Brianza | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Leon Monza e Brianza | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44 | 34 | 53 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Piacenza vs Leon Monza e Brianza?
- The Footlab model makes Piacenza the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Leon Monza e Brianza.
- Where and when is Piacenza vs Leon Monza e Brianza played?
- Piacenza vs Leon Monza e Brianza is played on January 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Leonardo Garilli, in the Serie D - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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