Pavonese vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 20Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Virtus Ciserano Bergamo the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Pavonese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Virtus Ciserano Bergamo wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,713 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pavonese vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Pavonese (1,684) and Virtus Ciserano Bergamo (1,696).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pavonese vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pavonese
Not enough data to predict the Pavonese lineup.
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
Not enough data to predict the Virtus Ciserano Bergamo lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 09:55 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Pavonese have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats; Virtus Ciserano Bergamo have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Leon Monza e Brianza(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Virtus Verona(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Tritium(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Club Milano(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Nibbiano & Valtidone(away) | 1-4 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Virtus Verona(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Club Milano(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Chievo(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Pavonese(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Pavonese wins, 1 draw, 0 Virtus Ciserano Bergamo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2026 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 1-1 Pavonese | Serie D - Girone B |
Last archived meeting: Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Pavonese on Sep 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pavonese score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 6; Virtus Ciserano Bergamo score 1.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pavonese | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1 | 2/6 | 2/6 |
| Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | 1.4 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pavonese sit 15th in Serie D - Girone B (7 points from 6 matches) and Virtus Ciserano Bergamo sit 8th (9 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 9 |
| 15 | Pavonese | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 7 |
A question about Pavonese vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pavonese vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Virtus Ciserano Bergamo the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Pavonese.
- Where and when is Pavonese vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo played?
- Pavonese vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo is played on January 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 17, 2027PiacenzavsLeon Monza e Brianza
- Jan 17, 2027BrusaportovsMilan II
- Jan 17, 2027ScanzorosciatevsNibbiano & Valtidone
- Jan 17, 2027Villa VallevsTritium
- Jan 17, 2027Caldiero TermevsReal Calepina
- Jan 17, 2027Club MilanovsChievo
- Jan 17, 2027Pro PalazzolovsFiorenzuola
- Jan 17, 2027Rovato VertovesevsVirtus Verona