Pavonese vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 20Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Pavonese the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Virtus Ciserano Bergamo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pavonese vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo?
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 0 matches in all competitions, Pavonese have 0 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats; Virtus Ciserano Bergamo have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Castellanzese(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Pavia(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Vogherese(home) | 6-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Villa Valle(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Varesina(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 46 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pavonese vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo?
- The Footlab model makes Pavonese the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Virtus Ciserano Bergamo.
- Where and when is Pavonese vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo played?
- Pavonese vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo is played on January 17, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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- Jan 17, 2027Villa VallevsTritium
- Jan 17, 2027Caldiero TermevsReal Calepina
- Jan 17, 2027Club MilanovsChievo
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