Calvo Sotelo vs Conquense: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 17Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Ciudad de Puertollano, Puertollano
The Footlab AI model makes Calvo Sotelo the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Conquense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Calvo Sotelo wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,505 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Calvo Sotelo vs Conquense?
A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Calvo Sotelo (1,892) and Conquense (1,947).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Calvo Sotelo vs Conquense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Calvo Sotelo
Not enough data to predict the Calvo Sotelo lineup.
Conquense
Not enough data to predict the Conquense lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 10:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Calvo Sotelo have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Conquense have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | RSD Alcalá(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Valladolid II(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Atlético Tordesillas(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Real Ávila(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Atlético Paso(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Albacete II(home) | 4-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | A Madrid III(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Navalcarnero(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Salamanca UDS(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Calvo Sotelo wins, 2 draws, 1 Conquense win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2024 | Calvo Sotelo 2-0 Conquense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Conquense 0-0 Calvo Sotelo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Feb 26, 2023 | Conquense 1-0 Calvo Sotelo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 23, 2022 | Calvo Sotelo 0-0 Conquense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Dec 1, 2019 | Calvo Sotelo 4-0 Conquense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
Last archived meeting: Calvo Sotelo vs Conquense on Mar 23, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Calvo Sotelo score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Conquense score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvo Sotelo | 1.3 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Conquense | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Calvo Sotelo sit 17th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (4 points from 5 matches) and Conquense sit 5th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Conquense | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 10 |
| 17 | Calvo Sotelo | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 4 |
A question about Calvo Sotelo vs Conquense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Calvo Sotelo vs Conquense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Calvo Sotelo the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Conquense.
- Where and when is Calvo Sotelo vs Conquense played?
- Calvo Sotelo vs Conquense is played on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ciudad de Puertollano, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 10, 2027NumanciavsRSD Alcalá
- Jan 10, 2027CF TalaveravsSS Reyes
- Jan 10, 2027Getafe IIvsGimnástica Segoviana
- Jan 10, 2027Salamanca UDSvsCalamocha
- Jan 10, 2027Atlético AstorgavsNavalcarnero
- Jan 10, 2027Atlético TordesillasvsReal Valladolid II
- Jan 10, 2027Albacete IIvsReal Ávila
- Jan 10, 2027GuadalajaravsA Madrid III