Match

Calvo Sotelo vs Conquense: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 17Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Ciudad de Puertollano, Puertollano

Calvo SoteloConquense

The Footlab model makes Calvo Sotelo the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Conquense. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Calvo Sotelo vs Conquense?

A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Calvo Sotelo (1,938) and Conquense (1,911).

Calvo Sotelo win48 %
Draw27 %
Conquense win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Calvo Sotelo have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Conquense have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Calvo Sotelo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026La Solana(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
May 3, 2026Toledo(away)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
Apr 26, 2026Cazalegas(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
Apr 19, 2026Huracán Balazote(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
Apr 12, 2026Guadalajara II(home)4-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
Conquense
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 31, 2026UD Ourense(home)0-2Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 24, 2026UD Ourense(away)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 17, 2026Xerez(home)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 9, 2026Xerez(away)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 3, 2026Real Madrid III(away)1-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Calvo Sotelo win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Conquense win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 23, 2024Calvo Sotelo 2-0 ConquenseTercera División RFEF - Group 18
Nov 5, 2023Conquense 0-0 Calvo SoteloTercera División RFEF - Group 18
Feb 26, 2023Conquense 1-0 Calvo SoteloTercera División RFEF - Group 18
Oct 23, 2022Calvo Sotelo 0-0 ConquenseTercera División RFEF - Group 18
Dec 1, 2019Calvo Sotelo 4-0 ConquenseTercera División RFEF - Group 18

Last archived meeting: Calvo Sotelo vs Conquense on Mar 23, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Calvo Sotelo score 1.7 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Conquense score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Calvo Sotelo1.70.687/156/15
Conquense1.10.965/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Conquense3416126423060

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Calvo Sotelo vs Conquense?
The Footlab model makes Calvo Sotelo the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Conquense.
Where and when is Calvo Sotelo vs Conquense played?
Calvo Sotelo vs Conquense is played on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ciudad de Puertollano, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Calvo Sotelo and Conquense

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