Calvo Sotelo vs Conquense: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 17Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Ciudad de Puertollano, Puertollano
The Footlab model makes Calvo Sotelo the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Conquense. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Calvo Sotelo vs Conquense?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Calvo Sotelo (1,938) and Conquense (1,911).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Calvo Sotelo have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Conquense have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | La Solana(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| May 3, 2026 | Toledo(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Cazalegas(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Huracán Balazote(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Guadalajara II(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | UD Ourense(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 24, 2026 | UD Ourense(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 17, 2026 | Xerez(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 9, 2026 | Xerez(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Real Madrid III(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Calvo Sotelo win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Conquense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2024 | Calvo Sotelo 2-0 Conquense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Conquense 0-0 Calvo Sotelo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Feb 26, 2023 | Conquense 1-0 Calvo Sotelo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 23, 2022 | Calvo Sotelo 0-0 Conquense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Dec 1, 2019 | Calvo Sotelo 4-0 Conquense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
Last archived meeting: Calvo Sotelo vs Conquense on Mar 23, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Calvo Sotelo score 1.7 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Conquense score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvo Sotelo | 1.7 | 0.6 | 8 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Conquense | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Conquense | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 42 | 30 | 60 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Calvo Sotelo vs Conquense?
- The Footlab model makes Calvo Sotelo the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Conquense.
- Where and when is Calvo Sotelo vs Conquense played?
- Calvo Sotelo vs Conquense is played on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ciudad de Puertollano, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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