Guadalajara vs A Madrid III: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 17Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Pedro Escartín, Guadalajara
The Footlab AI model makes Guadalajara the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for A Madrid III. The most likely score is 1-1. If Guadalajara wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,500 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Guadalajara vs A Madrid III?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Guadalajara (1,891) and A Madrid III (1,889).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Guadalajara vs A Madrid III
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Guadalajara
Not enough data to predict the Guadalajara lineup.
A Madrid III
Not enough data to predict the A Madrid III lineup.
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 01:13 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guadalajara have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; A Madrid III have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Calvo Sotelo(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Real Valladolid II(home) | 4-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Atlético Tordesillas(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Getafe II(home) | 4-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Real Madrid III(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | CF Talavera(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Albacete II(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Navalcarnero(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Conquense(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
How many goals should we expect?
Guadalajara score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; A Madrid III score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guadalajara | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| A Madrid III | 1.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guadalajara sit 11th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (9 points from 8 matches) and A Madrid III sit 3rd (17 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | A Madrid III | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 17 |
| 11 | Guadalajara | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 17 | 9 |
A question about Guadalajara vs A Madrid III?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Guadalajara vs A Madrid III?
- The Footlab AI model makes Guadalajara the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for A Madrid III.
- Where and when is Guadalajara vs A Madrid III played?
- Guadalajara vs A Madrid III is played on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Pedro Escartín, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 10, 2027NumanciavsRSD Alcalá
- Jan 10, 2027CF TalaveravsSS Reyes
- Jan 10, 2027Getafe IIvsGimnástica Segoviana
- Jan 10, 2027Salamanca UDSvsCalamocha
- Jan 10, 2027Atlético AstorgavsNavalcarnero
- Jan 10, 2027Atlético TordesillasvsReal Valladolid II
- Jan 10, 2027Albacete IIvsReal Ávila
- Jan 10, 2027Calvo SotelovsConquense