Conquense vs Atlético Astorga: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 18Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal La Fuensanta, Cuenca
The Footlab AI model makes Conquense the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Atlético Astorga. The most likely score is 1-1. If Conquense wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,514 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Conquense vs Atlético Astorga?
On Elo ratings, Conquense has 1,947 points and Atlético Astorga 1,882.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Conquense vs Atlético Astorga
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Conquense
Not enough data to predict the Conquense lineup.
Atlético Astorga
Not enough data to predict the Atlético Astorga lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 11:19 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Conquense have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Atlético Astorga have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Albacete II(home) | 4-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | A Madrid III(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Navalcarnero(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Salamanca UDS(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ourense CF(home) | 4-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Amorebieta(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sestao River(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Marino de Luanco(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Basconia(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Conquense score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Astorga score 1.2 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conquense | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Atlético Astorga | 1.2 | 1.2 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Conquense | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 10 |
A question about Conquense vs Atlético Astorga?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Conquense vs Atlético Astorga?
- The Footlab AI model makes Conquense the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Atlético Astorga.
- Where and when is Conquense vs Atlético Astorga played?
- Conquense vs Atlético Astorga is played on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal La Fuensanta, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 17, 2027NavalcarnerovsSalamanca UDS
- Jan 17, 2027Gimnástica SegovianavsCalvo Sotelo
- Jan 17, 2027SS ReyesvsAtlético Tordesillas
- Jan 17, 2027Real Valladolid IIvsCF Talavera
- Jan 17, 2027RSD AlcalávsGuadalajara
- Jan 17, 2027Real ÁvilavsCalamocha
- Jan 17, 2027Albacete IIvsGetafe II
- Jan 17, 2027A Madrid IIIvsNumancia