Atlético Astorga vs Navalcarnero: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 17Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Eragudina, Astorga
The Footlab AI model makes Atlético Astorga the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Navalcarnero. The most likely score is 1-1. If Atlético Astorga wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,479 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlético Astorga vs Navalcarnero?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Atlético Astorga (1,882) and Navalcarnero (1,918).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Atlético Astorga vs Navalcarnero
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Atlético Astorga
Not enough data to predict the Atlético Astorga lineup.
Navalcarnero
4-3-3- 11M. Jimenez
- 9Vizuete Perez Jaime
- 24A. Altube Suarez
- 14Javi Bueno
- 21I. Perera
- 15J. Cruz
- 6R. de Souza
- 5A. Espinola
- 3Juanmi
- 19A. Aunon
- 1A. Calado
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 09:17 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Astorga have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Navalcarnero have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ourense CF(home) | 4-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Amorebieta(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sestao River(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Marino de Luanco(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Basconia(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Recreativo Huelva(away) | 2-2 | Copa Federacion |
| Oct 11, 2026 | A Madrid III(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | RSD Alcalá(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Real Murcia(home) | 3-1 | Copa Federacion |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Conquense(home) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
How many goals should we expect?
Atlético Astorga score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Navalcarnero score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Astorga | 1.2 | 1.2 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Navalcarnero | 1.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Navalcarnero | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 8 |
A question about Atlético Astorga vs Navalcarnero?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlético Astorga vs Navalcarnero?
- The Footlab AI model makes Atlético Astorga the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Navalcarnero.
- Where and when is Atlético Astorga vs Navalcarnero played?
- Atlético Astorga vs Navalcarnero is played on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Eragudina, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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