Match

Numancia vs RSD Alcalá: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 17Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos, Soria

NumanciaRSD Alcalá

The Footlab AI model makes Numancia the favourite at 67%, against 21% for a draw and 12% for RSD Alcalá. The most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,527 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Numancia vs RSD Alcalá?

Numancia starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,973 vs 1,869).

67%21%12%
Numancia winDrawRSD Alcalá win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Numancia vs RSD Alcalá

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Numancia

4-3-3
  1. 9Jony González
  2. 14Alejandro Gil Rochina
  3. 26C. Godson
  1. 8M. Gning
  2. 5O. De Frutos
  3. 6N. Lucas Rey
  1. 2Marcos Sánchez
  2. 16Carlos Gutiérrez
  3. 22Fermín Ruiz
  4. 4Ian Olivera
  1. 1M. Abad

RSD Alcalá

4-3-3
  1. 10Izan
  2. 23I. Robledo
  3. 19N. Sanchez
  1. 11Javi Hernández
  2. 7J. Arribas
  3. 8S. Marcos
  1. 22D. Nieto
  2. 15Chete
  3. 4H. Torres
  4. 12M. Lopez
  1. 1I. Gil

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 10:02 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Numancia have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; RSD Alcalá have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Numancia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Real Ávila(away)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 4, 2026Getafe II(away)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 27, 2026Guadalajara(home)1-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 19, 2026SS Reyes(away)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 13, 2026A Madrid III(home)2-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
RSD Alcalá
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Calvo Sotelo(away)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 4, 2026Navalcarnero(home)1-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 27, 2026Salamanca UDS(away)0-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 20, 2026Gimnástica Segoviana(home)5-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 13, 2026Guadalajara(away)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

How many goals should we expect?

Numancia score 1.2 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; RSD Alcalá score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Numancia1.20.686/155/15
RSD Alcalá1.51.267/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Numancia sit 3rd in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (11 points from 5 matches) and RSD Alcalá sit 10th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Numancia53205011
10RSD Alcalá520310106

A question about Numancia vs RSD Alcalá?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Numancia vs RSD Alcalá?
The Footlab AI model makes Numancia the favourite at 67%, against 21% for a draw and 12% for RSD Alcalá.
Where and when is Numancia vs RSD Alcalá played?
Numancia vs RSD Alcalá is played on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Numancia and RSD Alcalá

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