Cambridge United vs Doncaster: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 22Kick-off on December 29, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Abbey Stadium, Cambridge, Cambridgeshire
The Footlab model makes Cambridge United the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Doncaster. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cambridge United vs Doncaster?
A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Cambridge United (1,888) and Doncaster (1,813).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cambridge United have 7 wins, 7 draws and 1 defeats; Doncaster have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bromley(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wigan(home) | 3-2 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Barnet(home) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Norwich(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Northampton(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Barnsley(home) | 0-0 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mansfield Town(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stockport County(away) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lincoln(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Wolves(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Cambridge United win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Doncaster win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2022 | Cambridge United 3-1 Doncaster | League One |
| Oct 26, 2021 | Doncaster 1-1 Cambridge United | League One |
| Feb 28, 2017 | Cambridge United 2-3 Doncaster | League Two |
| Aug 16, 2016 | Doncaster 1-0 Cambridge United | League Two |
| Dec 6, 2015 | Cambridge United 1-3 Doncaster | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Cambridge United vs Doncaster on Jan 18, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Cambridge United score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Doncaster score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cambridge United | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Doncaster | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cambridge United sit 4th in League One (4 points from 2 matches) and Doncaster sit 20th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cambridge United | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 20 | Doncaster | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cambridge United vs Doncaster?
- The Footlab model makes Cambridge United the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Doncaster.
- Where and when is Cambridge United vs Doncaster played?
- Cambridge United vs Doncaster is played on December 29, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Abbey Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.