Wycombe vs Stevenage: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 22Kick-off on December 29, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Adams Park, High Wycombe, Buckinghamshire
The Footlab model makes Wycombe the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Stevenage. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wycombe vs Stevenage?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Wycombe (1,843) and Stevenage (1,831).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wycombe have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Stevenage have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Plymouth(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Reading(away) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Blackpool(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Stevenage(home) | 1-2 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ipswich(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Oxford United(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Burton Albion(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Wycombe(away) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Colchester(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Millwall(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Wycombe win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Stevenage win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Wycombe 1-2 Stevenage | League Cup |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Wycombe 3-1 Stevenage | League One |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Stevenage 1-0 Wycombe | League One |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Wycombe 1-0 Stevenage | League One |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Stevenage 0-3 Wycombe | League One |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Stevenage 1-0 Wycombe | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Wycombe score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Stevenage score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wycombe | 1.5 | 1.9 | 0 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Stevenage | 0.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wycombe sit 16th in League One (2 points from 2 matches) and Stevenage sit 19th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wycombe | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 19 | Stevenage | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wycombe vs Stevenage?
- The Footlab model makes Wycombe the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Stevenage.
- Where and when is Wycombe vs Stevenage played?
- Wycombe vs Stevenage is played on December 29, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Adams Park, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.