Cambridge United vs Leyton Orient: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 28Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Abbey Stadium, Cambridge, Cambridgeshire
The Footlab model makes Cambridge United the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Leyton Orient. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cambridge United vs Leyton Orient?
A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate Cambridge United (1,893) and Leyton Orient (1,819).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cambridge United have 7 wins, 7 draws and 1 defeats; Leyton Orient have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bromley(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wigan(home) | 3-2 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Barnet(home) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Norwich(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Northampton(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wigan(away) | 2-0 | League One |
| Aug 18, 2026 | AFC Wimbledon(home) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sheffield Wednesday(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Oxford United(home) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Waltham Abbey(away) | 7-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Cambridge United win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Leyton Orient win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2025 | Cambridge United 1-2 Leyton Orient | League One |
| Dec 29, 2024 | Leyton Orient 2-0 Cambridge United | League One |
| Jan 1, 2024 | Cambridge United 0-2 Leyton Orient | League One |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Leyton Orient 2-0 Cambridge United | League One |
| Apr 20, 2021 | Leyton Orient 2-4 Cambridge United | League Two |
| Dec 26, 2020 | Cambridge United 2-1 Leyton Orient | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Cambridge United vs Leyton Orient on Apr 21, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Cambridge United score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Leyton Orient score 1.8 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cambridge United | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Leyton Orient | 1.8 | 1.2 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cambridge United sit 4th in League One (4 points from 2 matches) and Leyton Orient sit 10th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cambridge United | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | Leyton Orient | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cambridge United vs Leyton Orient?
- The Footlab model makes Cambridge United the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Leyton Orient.
- Where and when is Cambridge United vs Leyton Orient played?
- Cambridge United vs Leyton Orient is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Abbey Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.