Macaé vs Artsul: prediction and stats
Carioca - 2Regular Season - 4Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Claúdio Moacir de Azevedo, Macaé, Rio de Janeiro
The Footlab model makes Artsul the favourite at 36%, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Macaé. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Macaé vs Artsul?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Macaé (1,552) and Artsul (1,605).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Macaé have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Artsul have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 23, 2026 | Americano Campos(away) | 1-2 | Copa Rio |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Americano Campos(home) | 0-0 | Copa Rio |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Goytacaz(away) | 1-4 | Carioca B2 |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Goytacaz(home) | 1-1 | Carioca B2 |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Santa Cruz RJ(away) | 2-2 | Carioca B2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | São Cristóvão RJ(home) | 1-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Nov 5, 2025 | Petrópolis(away) | 0-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Serrano RJ(home) | 1-2 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Carapebus(home) | 3-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Nova Cidade(away) | 0-0 | Carioca - 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Macaé win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Artsul win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2023 | Macaé 1-4 Artsul | Carioca A2 |
| Jun 22, 2022 | Macaé 0-0 Artsul | Carioca A2 |
| Jul 31, 2021 | Artsul 2-1 Macaé | Carioca A2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Macaé score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Artsul score 0.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macaé | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Artsul | 0.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Artsul | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Macaé vs Artsul?
- The Footlab model makes Artsul the favourite at 36%, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Macaé.
- Where and when is Macaé vs Artsul played?
- Macaé vs Artsul is played on September 26, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Claúdio Moacir de Azevedo, in the Carioca - 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.