Campo Grande vs Niteroiense: prediction and stats
Carioca - 2Regular Season - 9Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Mauro Sampaio, Juazeiro do Norte, Ceará
The Footlab model makes Campo Grande the favourite at 35%, against 32% for a draw and 34% for Niteroiense. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Campo Grande vs Niteroiense?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Campo Grande (1,644) and Niteroiense (1,674).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Campo Grande have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Niteroiense have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | Petrópolis(away) | 1-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Nov 5, 2025 | Nova Cidade(away) | 0-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Carapebus(home) | 0-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Niteroiense(home) | 1-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Paduano(away) | 1-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | Paduano(home) | 5-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Nov 5, 2025 | Duque de Caxias(home) | 0-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Friburguense(away) | 1-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Campo Grande(away) | 1-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Bonsucesso(home) | 2-3 | Carioca - 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Campo Grande win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Niteroiense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2025 | Campo Grande 1-1 Niteroiense | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Niteroiense 1-0 Campo Grande | Carioca B2 |
Last archived meeting: Campo Grande vs Niteroiense on Oct 24, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Campo Grande score 0.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Niteroiense score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Campo Grande | 0.7 | 0.9 | 4 | 6/15 | 1/15 |
| Niteroiense | 1.3 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Campo Grande sit 8th in Carioca - 2 (15 points from 11 matches) and Niteroiense sit 5th (16 points from 11 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Niteroiense | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 16 |
| 8 | Campo Grande | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 15 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Campo Grande vs Niteroiense?
- The Footlab model makes Campo Grande the favourite at 35%, against 32% for a draw and 34% for Niteroiense.
- Where and when is Campo Grande vs Niteroiense played?
- Campo Grande vs Niteroiense is played on October 24, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Mauro Sampaio, in the Carioca - 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.