Macaé vs Niteroiense: prediction and stats
Carioca - 2Regular Season - 11Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Claúdio Moacir de Azevedo, Macaé, Rio de Janeiro
The Footlab AI model makes Niteroiense the favourite at 49%, against 29% for a draw and 22% for Macaé. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Macaé vs Niteroiense?
Niteroiense starts as the favourite with a 166-point Elo edge (1,592 vs 1,426).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Macaé vs Niteroiense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Macaé
4-3-3- WWallacer
- EEdy
- BBruno Kiper
- JJúnior Araújo de Souza
- RRonan Borges Meneses
- GGuilherme
- ÁÁlvaro Acevedo Fagúndez Suárez
- RRossales
- HHeltton
- DDante
- RRicardo Luiz Lima de Souza
Niteroiense
Not enough data to predict the Niteroiense lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 09:44 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Macaé have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Niteroiense have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Serrano RJ(away) | 0-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Carapebus(home) | 4-3 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Artsul(home) | 0-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Campo Grande(away) | 1-2 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Audax Rio(home) | 2-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Carapebus(away) | 3-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | São Cristóvão RJ(home) | 1-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Duque de Caxias(away) | 2-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Nova Cidade(home) | 1-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Petrópolis(away) | 1-1 | Carioca - 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Macaé score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Niteroiense score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macaé | 1.1 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Niteroiense | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Macaé sit 8th in Carioca - 2 (7 points from 6 matches) and Niteroiense sit 1st (13 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Niteroiense | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 13 |
| 8 | Macaé | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
A question about Macaé vs Niteroiense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Macaé vs Niteroiense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Niteroiense the favourite at 49%, against 29% for a draw and 22% for Macaé.
- Where and when is Macaé vs Niteroiense played?
- Macaé vs Niteroiense is played on November 7, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Claúdio Moacir de Azevedo, in the Carioca - 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.