Macaé vs Duque de Caxias: prediction and stats
Carioca - 2Regular Season - 9Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Claúdio Moacir de Azevedo, Macaé, Rio de Janeiro
The Footlab AI model makes Duque de Caxias the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Macaé. The most likely score is 1-1. If Duque de Caxias wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Macaé vs Duque de Caxias?
A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Macaé (1,446) and Duque de Caxias (1,532).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Macaé vs Duque de Caxias
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Macaé
4-3-3- WWallacer
- EEdy
- BBruno Kiper
- JJúnior Araújo de Souza
- RRonan Borges Meneses
- GGuilherme
- ÁÁlvaro Acevedo Fagúndez Suárez
- RRossales
- HHeltton
- DDante
- RRicardo Luiz Lima de Souza
Duque de Caxias
4-3-3- RRafael de Sa Rodrigues
- MMatheus Cardoso de Souza
- DDudu
- HHarison
- BBruno Arrabal Passamani
- SSampson
- DDiego Evangelista dos Santos
- BBruno Moura
- BBruno Everton Ferreira de Sousa
- HHenrique Motta
- RRafael Roballo
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 06:13 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Macaé have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Duque de Caxias have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Serrano RJ(away) | 0-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Carapebus(home) | 4-3 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Artsul(home) | 0-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Campo Grande(away) | 1-2 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Audax Rio(home) | 2-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Audax Rio(home) | 1-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Goytacaz(away) | 1-2 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Niteroiense(home) | 0-2 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | São Cristóvão RJ(away) | 1-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Carapebus(away) | 4-1 | Carioca - 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Macaé wins, 1 draw, 1 Duque de Caxias win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2023 | Macaé 3-0 Duque de Caxias | Carioca - 2 |
| Aug 23, 2023 | Macaé 2-0 Duque de Caxias | Copa Rio |
| Aug 16, 2023 | Duque de Caxias 2-0 Macaé | Copa Rio |
| Jul 17, 2021 | Duque de Caxias 0-0 Macaé | Carioca A2 |
| Sep 20, 2014 | Duque de Caxias 1-2 Macaé | Serie C |
| Jul 19, 2014 | Macaé 1-0 Duque de Caxias | Serie C |
Last archived meeting: Macaé vs Duque de Caxias on Sep 18, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Macaé score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Duque de Caxias score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macaé | 1.1 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Duque de Caxias | 1.2 | 1.1 | 7 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Macaé sit 8th in Carioca - 2 (7 points from 6 matches) and Duque de Caxias sit 2nd (12 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Duque de Caxias | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 12 |
| 8 | Macaé | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
A question about Macaé vs Duque de Caxias?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Macaé vs Duque de Caxias?
- The Footlab AI model makes Duque de Caxias the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Macaé.
- Where and when is Macaé vs Duque de Caxias played?
- Macaé vs Duque de Caxias is played on October 24, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Claúdio Moacir de Azevedo, in the Carioca - 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.