Petrópolis vs Carapebus: prediction and stats
Carioca - 2Regular Season - 9Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Atílio Marotti, Petrópolis, Rio de Janeiro
The Footlab AI model makes Petrópolis the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Carapebus. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Petrópolis vs Carapebus?
Petrópolis starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,508 vs 1,385).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Petrópolis vs Carapebus
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Petrópolis
Not enough data to predict the Petrópolis lineup.
Carapebus
Not enough data to predict the Carapebus lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 01:25 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Petrópolis have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Carapebus have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Artsul(home) | 1-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Campo Grande(away) | 0-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Audax Rio(home) | 3-2 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Goytacaz(away) | 2-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Niteroiense(home) | 1-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Niteroiense(home) | 1-3 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Macaé(away) | 3-4 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 25, 2026 | São Cristóvão RJ(home) | 0-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Artsul(away) | 0-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Duque de Caxias(home) | 1-4 | Carioca - 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Petrópolis win, 0 draws, 0 Carapebus wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | Petrópolis 3-0 Carapebus | Carioca - 2 |
Last archived meeting: Petrópolis vs Carapebus on Oct 11, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Petrópolis score 1.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Carapebus score 0.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Petrópolis | 1.1 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Carapebus | 0.7 | 1.7 | 4 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Petrópolis sit 5th in Carioca - 2 (10 points from 6 matches) and Carapebus sit 11th (1 point from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Petrópolis | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
| 11 | Carapebus | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 1 |
A question about Petrópolis vs Carapebus?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Petrópolis vs Carapebus?
- The Footlab AI model makes Petrópolis the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Carapebus.
- Where and when is Petrópolis vs Carapebus played?
- Petrópolis vs Carapebus is played on October 24, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Atílio Marotti, in the Carioca - 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.