Canada W U17 vs Norway U17 W: prediction and stats
World Cup - U17 - WomenWorld Cup Women U17 - 2Kick-off on October 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)BMO Field, Toronto, Ontario
The Footlab model makes Canada W U17 the favourite at 72%, against 16% for a draw and 12% for Norway U17 W. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Canada W U17 vs Norway U17 W?
Canada W U17 starts as the favourite with a 194-point Elo edge (1,675 vs 1,481).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Canada W U17 have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Norway U17 W have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | United States W U17(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Women |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Mexico U17 W(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Women |
| Mar 22, 2026 | El Salvador W U17(home) | 5-0 | CONCACAF Women U17 |
| Mar 19, 2026 | Dominican Republic W U17(away) | 7-0 | CONCACAF Women U17 |
| Mar 17, 2026 | Nicaragua W U17(home) | 5-0 | CONCACAF Women U17 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2026 | France U17 W(away) | 1-1 | UEFA U17 Championship - Women |
| May 10, 2026 | England U17 W(away) | 1-1 | UEFA U17 Championship - Women |
| May 7, 2026 | Northern Ireland U17 W(away) | 3-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Women |
| May 4, 2026 | Germany U17 W(home) | 1-3 | UEFA U17 Championship - Women |
| Feb 12, 2026 | England U17 W(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Women |
How many goals should we expect?
Canada W U17 score 2.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Norway U17 W score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canada W U17 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 8 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Norway U17 W | 1.5 | 1.5 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Canada W U17 vs Norway U17 W?
- The Footlab model makes Canada W U17 the favourite at 72%, against 16% for a draw and 12% for Norway U17 W.
- Where and when is Canada W U17 vs Norway U17 W played?
- Canada W U17 vs Norway U17 W is played on October 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at BMO Field, in the World Cup - U17 - Women.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.