Morocco U17 W vs Germany U17 W: prediction and stats
World Cup - U17 - WomenWorld Cup Women U17 - 2Kick-off on October 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Morocco U17 W the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Germany U17 W. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Morocco U17 W vs Germany U17 W?
Morocco U17 W starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,528 vs 1,399).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Morocco U17 W have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Germany U17 W have 6, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2026 | Turkey U18 W(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Women |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Uzbekistan U18 W(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Women |
| Feb 12, 2026 | United States W U17(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies Women |
| Feb 9, 2026 | Scotland U17 W(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Women |
| Oct 28, 2025 | North Korea U17 W(away) | 1-6 | World Cup - U17 - Women |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | France U17 W(home) | 1-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Women |
| May 14, 2026 | Spain U17 W(home) | 0-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Women |
| May 10, 2026 | Northern Ireland U17 W(home) | 0-1 | UEFA U17 Championship - Women |
| May 7, 2026 | England U17 W(home) | 1-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Women |
| May 4, 2026 | Norway U17 W(away) | 3-1 | UEFA U17 Championship - Women |
How many goals should we expect?
Morocco U17 W score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Germany U17 W score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morocco U17 W | 1.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Germany U17 W | 1.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 4/12 | 5/12 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Morocco U17 W vs Germany U17 W?
- The Footlab model makes Morocco U17 W the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Germany U17 W.
- Where and when is Morocco U17 W vs Germany U17 W played?
- Morocco U17 W vs Germany U17 W is played on October 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the World Cup - U17 - Women.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.