North Korea U17 W vs Poland U17 W: prediction and stats
World Cup - U17 - WomenWorld Cup Women U17 - 2Kick-off on October 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes North Korea U17 W the favourite at 79%, against 13% for a draw and 8% for Poland U17 W. The most likely score is 3-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win North Korea U17 W vs Poland U17 W?
North Korea U17 W starts as the favourite with a 283-point Elo edge (1,762 vs 1,479).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, North Korea U17 W have 14 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats; Poland U17 W have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Japan U17 W(home) | 5-1 | AFC U17 Asian Cup - Women |
| May 14, 2026 | China PR U17 W(away) | 4-2 | AFC U17 Asian Cup - Women |
| May 11, 2026 | Thailand U17 W(home) | 6-0 | AFC U17 Asian Cup - Women |
| May 8, 2026 | South Korea U17 W(home) | 3-0 | AFC U17 Asian Cup - Women |
| May 5, 2026 | Philippines U17 W(away) | 8-0 | AFC U17 Asian Cup - Women |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2026 | England U17 W(away) | 2-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Women |
| May 11, 2026 | Spain U17 W(home) | 1-4 | UEFA U17 Championship - Women |
| May 8, 2026 | Finland U17 W(away) | 1-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Women |
| May 5, 2026 | France U17 W(away) | 0-5 | UEFA U17 Championship - Women |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Mexico U17 W(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Women |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 North Korea U17 W win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Poland U17 W win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2024 | North Korea U17 W 1-0 Poland U17 W | World Cup - U17 - Women |
Last archived meeting: North Korea U17 W vs Poland U17 W on Oct 26, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
North Korea U17 W score 4.2 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Poland U17 W score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 80% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Korea U17 W | 4.2 | 0.5 | 9 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
| Poland U17 W | 0.9 | 1.5 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for North Korea U17 W vs Poland U17 W?
- The Footlab model makes North Korea U17 W the favourite at 79%, against 13% for a draw and 8% for Poland U17 W.
- Where and when is North Korea U17 W vs Poland U17 W played?
- North Korea U17 W vs Poland U17 W is played on October 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the World Cup - U17 - Women.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 80% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.