China PR U17 W vs Samoa U17 W: prediction and stats
World Cup - U17 - WomenWorld Cup Women U17 - 2Kick-off on October 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes China PR U17 W the favourite at 57%, against 20% for a draw and 23% for Samoa U17 W. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win China PR U17 W vs Samoa U17 W?
China PR U17 W starts as the favourite with a 120-point Elo edge (1,569 vs 1,450).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, China PR U17 W have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Samoa U17 W have 0, 0 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2026 | North Korea U17 W(home) | 2-4 | AFC U17 Asian Cup - Women |
| May 11, 2026 | India U17 W(home) | 3-0 | AFC U17 Asian Cup - Women |
| May 7, 2026 | Thailand U17 W(home) | 6-0 | AFC U17 Asian Cup - Women |
| May 4, 2026 | Vietnam U17 W(away) | 3-0 | AFC U17 Asian Cup - Women |
| May 1, 2026 | Myanmar U17 W(home) | 6-0 | AFC U17 Asian Cup - Women |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | Nigeria U17 W(home) | 0-4 | World Cup - U17 - Women |
| Oct 22, 2025 | Canada W U17(home) | 0-6 | World Cup - U17 - Women |
| Oct 19, 2025 | France U17 W(away) | 2-4 | World Cup - U17 - Women |
How many goals should we expect?
China PR U17 W score 2.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Samoa U17 W score 0.7 and concede 4.7. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China PR U17 W | 2.5 | 1.3 | 8 | 4/15 | 12/15 |
| Samoa U17 W | 0.7 | 4.7 | 0 | 1/3 | 3/3 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for China PR U17 W vs Samoa U17 W?
- The Footlab model makes China PR U17 W the favourite at 57%, against 20% for a draw and 23% for Samoa U17 W.
- Where and when is China PR U17 W vs Samoa U17 W played?
- China PR U17 W vs Samoa U17 W is played on October 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the World Cup - U17 - Women.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.