Japan U17 W vs France U17 W: prediction and stats
World Cup - U17 - WomenWorld Cup Women U17 - 2Kick-off on October 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Japan U17 W the favourite at 63%, against 19% for a draw and 18% for France U17 W. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Japan U17 W vs France U17 W?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Japan U17 W (1,638) and France U17 W (1,554).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Japan U17 W have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; France U17 W have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | North Korea U17 W(away) | 1-5 | AFC U17 Asian Cup - Women |
| May 14, 2026 | Australia U17 W(home) | 4-0 | AFC U17 Asian Cup - Women |
| May 11, 2026 | South Korea U17 W(home) | 1-0 | AFC U17 Asian Cup - Women |
| May 8, 2026 | Australia U17 W(home) | 5-0 | AFC U17 Asian Cup - Women |
| May 5, 2026 | India U17 W(away) | 3-0 | AFC U17 Asian Cup - Women |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Germany U17 W(away) | 0-1 | UEFA U17 Championship - Women |
| May 14, 2026 | Norway U17 W(home) | 1-1 | UEFA U17 Championship - Women |
| May 11, 2026 | Finland U17 W(away) | 4-1 | UEFA U17 Championship - Women |
| May 8, 2026 | Spain U17 W(home) | 1-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Women |
| May 5, 2026 | Poland U17 W(home) | 5-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Women |
How many goals should we expect?
Japan U17 W score 3.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; France U17 W score 1.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Japan U17 W | 3.1 | 1.0 | 9 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
| France U17 W | 1.7 | 1.0 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Japan U17 W vs France U17 W?
- The Footlab model makes Japan U17 W the favourite at 63%, against 19% for a draw and 18% for France U17 W.
- Where and when is Japan U17 W vs France U17 W played?
- Japan U17 W vs France U17 W is played on October 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the World Cup - U17 - Women.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.