Cancún vs Piratas: prediction and stats
Liga de Expansión MXQuarter-finalsKick-off on November 6, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico Andrés Quintana Roo, Cancún
The Footlab AI model makes Cancún the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Piratas. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cancún wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,475 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cancún vs Piratas?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Cancún (1,930) and Piratas (1,877).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cancún vs Piratas
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cancún
4-3-3- 14K. Campos
- 2A. Álvarez
- 12J. Rodríguez
- 5A. Chávez
- 6J. Cortés
- 10P. Uscanga
- 3J. Hernandez
- 4R. Reyes
- 33L. Ruiz
- 15D. Guillén
- 1E. Arce
Piratas
4-3-3- 8B. Figueroa
- 25Daniel Lajud
- 26J. Clemente
- 23J. Venegas
- 7O. Soto
- 28J. Gamboa
- 3K. Jaime
- 6D. Cruz
- 14R. Gonzalez
- 22U. García
- 20H. Hernández
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 12:07 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cancún have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Piratas have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | CDS Tampico Madero(home) | 2-0 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Tepatitlán(away) | 4-0 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Venados FC(home) | 1-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mineros de Zacatecas(away) | 2-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Tapatío(home) | 1-0 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Tapatío(home) | 1-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Dorados(away) | 5-0 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Tepatitlán(home) | 3-0 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tlaxcala(away) | 2-4 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca(home) | 4-0 | Liga de Expansión MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Cancún win, 0 draws, 0 Piratas wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Piratas 0-1 Cancún | Liga de Expansión MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Cancún score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Piratas score 1.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cancún | 1.9 | 1.2 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Piratas | 1.8 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cancún sit 5th in Liga de Expansión MX (25 points from 15 matches) and Piratas sit 4th (25 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Piratas | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 15 | 25 |
| 5 | Cancún | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 18 | 25 |
A question about Cancún vs Piratas?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cancún vs Piratas?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cancún the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Piratas.
- Where and when is Cancún vs Piratas played?
- Cancún vs Piratas is played on November 6, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Olímpico Andrés Quintana Roo, in the Liga de Expansión MX.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.