Match

CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala: prediction and stats

Liga de Expansión MXQuarter-finalsKick-off on November 8, 2026 at 03:05 AM (UTC)Estadio Guaycura, La Paz

CA La PazTlaxcala

The Footlab AI model makes CA La Paz the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Tlaxcala. The most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,453 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala?

On Elo ratings, CA La Paz has 1,922 points and Tlaxcala 1,837.

60%21%19%
CA La Paz winDrawTlaxcala win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

CA La Paz

3-4-2-1
  1. 77J. Alonzo
  1. 20M. García
  2. 5E. Torres
  3. 25F. Illescas
  4. 13É. Alaffita
  5. 6D. Hernández
  6. 10M. Barragán
  1. 21C. Robles
  2. 28U. Zurita
  3. 16Yahir Del Aguila
  1. 33G. Alcalá

Tlaxcala

4-3-3
  1. 24E. Robles
  2. 11D. Álvarez
  3. 9Christian Henrique Mota de Oliveira Silva
  1. 6A. Iniestra
  2. 16M. Ramírez
  3. 12J. Freyfeld
  1. 1I. Govea
  2. 3E. Santos
  3. 21E. García
  4. 29M. Trejo
  1. 22N. Bedolla

Computed on November 4, 2026 at 12:21 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CA La Paz have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Tlaxcala have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

CA La Paz
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Dorados(home)3-0Liga de Expansión MX
Oct 25, 2026CDS Tampico Madero(away)3-1Liga de Expansión MX
Oct 17, 2026Tlaxcala(home)2-2Liga de Expansión MX
Oct 9, 2026Tapatío(away)4-2Liga de Expansión MX
Oct 3, 2026Venados FC(home)1-2Liga de Expansión MX
Tlaxcala
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Cruz Azul Hidalgo(away)2-0Liga de Expansión MX
Oct 25, 2026Correcaminos Uat(home)2-0Liga de Expansión MX
Oct 17, 2026CA La Paz(away)2-2Liga de Expansión MX
Oct 10, 2026Piratas(home)4-2Liga de Expansión MX
Oct 4, 2026Monarcas(away)1-1Liga de Expansión MX

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 CA La Paz wins, 3 draws, 0 Tlaxcala wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026CA La Paz 2-2 TlaxcalaLiga de Expansión MX
Mar 8, 2026CA La Paz 2-0 TlaxcalaLiga de Expansión MX
Sep 28, 2025Tlaxcala 3-3 CA La PazLiga de Expansión MX
Jan 11, 2025CA La Paz 4-4 TlaxcalaLiga de Expansión MX
Jul 27, 2024Tlaxcala 0-2 CA La PazLiga de Expansión MX
Feb 17, 2024Tlaxcala 2-3 CA La PazLiga de Expansión MX

Last archived meeting: CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala on Oct 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

CA La Paz score 2.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Tlaxcala score 1.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
CA La Paz2.41.2410/1512/15
Tlaxcala1.91.8211/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

CA La Paz sit 1st in Liga de Expansión MX (30 points from 15 matches) and Tlaxcala sit 8th (22 points from 15 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1CA La Paz15933361830
8Tlaxcala15645292722

A question about CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala?
The Footlab AI model makes CA La Paz the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Tlaxcala.
Where and when is CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala played?
CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala is played on November 8, 2026 at 03:05 AM (UTC) at Estadio Guaycura, in the Liga de Expansión MX.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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