Piratas vs Cancún: prediction and stats
Liga de Expansión MXQuarter-finalsKick-off on November 9, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Piratas the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Cancún. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,453 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Piratas vs Cancún?
On Elo ratings, Piratas has 1,877 points and Cancún 1,930.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Piratas vs Cancún
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Piratas
4-3-3- 8B. Figueroa
- 25Daniel Lajud
- 26J. Clemente
- 23J. Venegas
- 7O. Soto
- 28J. Gamboa
- 3K. Jaime
- 6D. Cruz
- 14R. Gonzalez
- 22U. García
- 20H. Hernández
Cancún
4-3-3- 14K. Campos
- 2A. Álvarez
- 12J. Rodríguez
- 5A. Chávez
- 6J. Cortés
- 10P. Uscanga
- 3J. Hernandez
- 4R. Reyes
- 33L. Ruiz
- 15D. Guillén
- 1E. Arce
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 10:52 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Piratas have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Cancún have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Tapatío(home) | 1-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Dorados(away) | 5-0 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Tepatitlán(home) | 3-0 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tlaxcala(away) | 2-4 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca(home) | 4-0 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | CDS Tampico Madero(home) | 2-0 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Tepatitlán(away) | 4-0 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Venados FC(home) | 1-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mineros de Zacatecas(away) | 2-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Tapatío(home) | 1-0 | Liga de Expansión MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Piratas wins, 0 draws, 1 Cancún win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Piratas 0-1 Cancún | Liga de Expansión MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Piratas score 1.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Cancún score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piratas | 1.8 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Cancún | 1.9 | 1.2 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Piratas sit 4th in Liga de Expansión MX (25 points from 15 matches) and Cancún sit 5th (25 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Piratas | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 15 | 25 |
| 5 | Cancún | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 18 | 25 |
A question about Piratas vs Cancún?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Piratas vs Cancún?
- The Footlab AI model makes Piratas the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Cancún.
- Where and when is Piratas vs Cancún played?
- Piratas vs Cancún is played on November 9, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC), in the Liga de Expansión MX.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.