Canuelas vs Lujan: prediction and stats
Primera CRegular Season - 27Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Jorge Alfredo Arín, Cañuelas, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Lujan the favourite at 37%, against 33% for a draw and 30% for Canuelas. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Canuelas vs Lujan?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Canuelas (1,619) and Lujan (1,707).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Canuelas have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Lujan have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leones de Rosario(home) | 1-0 | Primera C |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Estrella Del Sur(home) | 1-2 | Primera C |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Atletico Atlas(away) | 0-2 | Primera C |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Yupanqui(away) | 2-1 | Primera C |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Deportivo Muñiz(home) | 0-1 | Primera C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lugano(away) | 2-1 | Primera C |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Central Cordoba(home) | 1-2 | Primera C |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Estrella Del Sur(away) | 2-0 | Primera C |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Claypole(away) | 3-1 | Primera C |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Central Ballester(home) | 3-1 | Primera C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Canuelas win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Lujan win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Lujan 2-1 Canuelas | Primera C |
| Jun 21, 2025 | Lujan 0-0 Canuelas | Primera C |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Canuelas 0-1 Lujan | Primera C |
| Feb 5, 2020 | Lujan 1-0 Canuelas | Primera C |
| Aug 14, 2019 | Canuelas 2-0 Lujan | Primera C |
| Mar 29, 2019 | Canuelas 2-3 Lujan | Primera C |
How many goals should we expect?
Canuelas score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Lujan score 1.8 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 29% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canuelas | 1.1 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Lujan | 1.8 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Canuelas sit 2nd in Primera C (42 points from 25 matches) and Lujan sit 1st (45 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lujan | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 45 |
| 2 | Canuelas | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 27 | 18 | 42 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Canuelas vs Lujan?
- The Footlab model makes Lujan the favourite at 37%, against 33% for a draw and 30% for Canuelas.
- Where and when is Canuelas vs Lujan played?
- Canuelas vs Lujan is played on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Jorge Alfredo Arín, in the Primera C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 29% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 5, 2026Central CordobavsEl Porvenir
- Sep 5, 2026Atletico AtlasvsGeneral Lamadrid
- Sep 5, 2026Victoriano ArenasvsArgentino Rosario
- Sep 5, 2026JJ UrquizavsJuventud Unida
- Sep 5, 2026Deportivo EspañolvsFénix
- Sep 5, 2026BerazateguivsEstrella Del Sur
- Sep 5, 2026Centro EspañolvsSacachispas
- Sep 5, 2026ClaypolevsCentral Ballester