Where and when is Mercedes vs Defensores de Cambaceres played?

Mercedes vs Defensores de Cambaceres is played on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Liga Mercedes, in the Primera C.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 28% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Mercedes vs Defensores de Cambaceres: prediction and stats

Primera CRegular Season - 27Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Liga Mercedes, Mercedes, Provincia de Buenos Aires

Mercedes

Defensores de Cambaceres

The Footlab model makes Mercedes the favourite at 56%, against 30% for a draw and 14% for Defensores de Cambaceres. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mercedes vs Defensores de Cambaceres?

A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Mercedes (1,585) and Defensores de Cambaceres (1,507).

Mercedes win56 %

Draw30 %

Defensores de Cambaceres win14 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mercedes have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Defensores de Cambaceres have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mercedes
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Sacachispas(home)	2-0	Primera C
Aug 18, 2026	Claypole(away)	0-1	Primera C
Aug 8, 2026	Argentino Rosario(away)	0-2	Primera C
Jul 31, 2026	Estrella Del Sur(home)	1-1	Primera C
Jul 25, 2026	Berazategui(away)	1-0	Primera C

Defensores de Cambaceres
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Puerto Nuevo(away)	2-0	Primera C
Aug 17, 2026	Leones de Rosario(away)	0-2	Primera C
Aug 8, 2026	Leandro N. Alem(home)	2-0	Primera C
Jul 31, 2026	Lugano(home)	1-2	Primera C
Jul 26, 2026	Juventud Unida(away)	1-3	Primera C

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Mercedes win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Defensores de Cambaceres win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 8, 2026	Defensores de Cambaceres 2-1 Mercedes	Primera C
Jun 20, 2025	Defensores de Cambaceres 2-1 Mercedes	Primera C
Mar 7, 2025	Mercedes 1-0 Defensores de Cambaceres	Primera C
Jul 20, 2024	Defensores de Cambaceres 0-0 Mercedes	Primera C
Feb 17, 2024	Mercedes 1-0 Defensores de Cambaceres	Primera C
Oct 28, 2023	Mercedes 0-0 Defensores de Cambaceres	Primera D

Last archived meeting: Defensores de Cambaceres vs Mercedes on May 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Mercedes score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Defensores de Cambaceres score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 28% probability of over 2.5 goals and 31% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Mercedes	1.3	0.7	7	4/15	3/15
Defensores de Cambaceres	0.7	1.3	4	5/15	4/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Mercedes sit 6th in Primera C (36 points from 25 matches) and Defensores de Cambaceres sit 10th (28 points from 25 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Mercedes	25	9	9	7	25	15	36
10	Defensores de Cambaceres	25	7	7	11	21	28	28

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mercedes vs Defensores de Cambaceres?: The Footlab model makes Mercedes the favourite at 56%, against 30% for a draw and 14% for Defensores de Cambaceres.
Where and when is Mercedes vs Defensores de Cambaceres played?: Mercedes vs Defensores de Cambaceres is played on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Liga Mercedes, in the Primera C.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 28% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.