Central Cordoba vs El Porvenir: prediction and stats
Primera CRegular Season - 27Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Gabino Sosa, Rosario, Provincia de Santa Fe
The Footlab model makes Central Cordoba the favourite at 40%, against 35% for a draw and 25% for El Porvenir. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Central Cordoba vs El Porvenir?
Central Cordoba starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (1,654 vs 1,552).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Central Cordoba have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; El Porvenir have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sportivo Barracas(home) | 2-1 | Primera C |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Centro Español(away) | 2-2 | Primera C |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Lujan(away) | 2-1 | Primera C |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Berazategui(away) | 0-1 | Primera C |
| Jul 31, 2026 | General Lamadrid(home) | 3-1 | Primera C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Central Ballester(home) | 0-0 | Primera C |
| Aug 16, 2026 | JJ Urquiza(away) | 1-0 | Primera C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Yupanqui(home) | 0-3 | Primera C |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Fénix(home) | 0-0 | Primera C |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Sportivo Barracas(away) | 2-3 | Primera C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Central Cordoba win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 El Porvenir win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | El Porvenir 1-0 Central Cordoba | Primera C |
| Jun 21, 2025 | El Porvenir 0-0 Central Cordoba | Primera C |
| Apr 23, 2025 | Central Cordoba 3-1 El Porvenir | Primera C |
| Sep 15, 2024 | El Porvenir 0-1 Central Cordoba | Primera C |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Central Cordoba 1-0 El Porvenir | Primera C |
| Sep 13, 2022 | El Porvenir 0-0 Central Cordoba | Primera C |
Last archived meeting: El Porvenir vs Central Cordoba on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Central Cordoba score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; El Porvenir score 0.5 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 25% probability of over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Cordoba | 1.1 | 1.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| El Porvenir | 0.5 | 0.8 | 8 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Central Cordoba sit 9th in Primera C (33 points from 25 matches) and El Porvenir sit 10th (30 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Central Cordoba | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 23 | 21 | 33 |
| 10 | El Porvenir | 25 | 5 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 21 | 30 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Central Cordoba vs El Porvenir?
- The Footlab model makes Central Cordoba the favourite at 40%, against 35% for a draw and 25% for El Porvenir.
- Where and when is Central Cordoba vs El Porvenir played?
- Central Cordoba vs El Porvenir is played on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Gabino Sosa, in the Primera C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 25% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 5, 2026Atletico AtlasvsGeneral Lamadrid
- Sep 5, 2026CanuelasvsLujan
- Sep 5, 2026Victoriano ArenasvsArgentino Rosario
- Sep 5, 2026JJ UrquizavsJuventud Unida
- Sep 5, 2026Deportivo EspañolvsFénix
- Sep 5, 2026BerazateguivsEstrella Del Sur
- Sep 5, 2026Centro EspañolvsSacachispas
- Sep 5, 2026ClaypolevsCentral Ballester